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Polls
Twitter ^ | October 31,2020 | Larry Schwenkarm

Posted on 10/31/2020 9:36:12 AM PDT by Hojczyk

Larry Schweikart @LarrySchweikart · 1h According to Fat Frank Luntz, Trump pollster " @JMcLghln is privately telling people that Trump is ahead in ALL the swing states–including Penn & Michigan, & tied in Wisconsin."

Baris & Trafalgar have it tied or within MOE in WI. Trafalgar has Trump up in MI. Baris has PA tie.


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To: cgbg

I agree and have thought this for awhile.


41 posted on 10/31/2020 10:50:23 AM PDT by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man, a subject.")
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To: Hojczyk

I’m in NJ right now, about a mile from Trump’s golf course. The rally going on right now dwarfs, dwarfs any anti-Trump protest that was ever held when the POTUS was at at the golf course (that is when the lefties love to come out and scream and shout). The car parade lasted 1:40 solid!!! The car horns of support for those not in the parade were amazing.

I have never seen such enthusiasm for a candidate in my lifetime.

I am NOT saying the President is going to win NJ. Now way no how, there are too many drones in this State. But Trump will get just about every vote that he can get which does bode well for down the ticket.

Now if you will excuse me, I have to fix my car horn. I blew it out!!

Back the blue, MAGA!!


42 posted on 10/31/2020 10:54:34 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: Maelstorm

“No English army has lost a battle in 200 years ...”

43 posted on 10/31/2020 10:55:37 AM PDT by 11th_VA (Democracy dies in darkness)
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To: Hojczyk

Vote, the only poll that matters


44 posted on 10/31/2020 11:20:53 AM PDT by MagillaX
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To: HamiltonJay

Trump may need 5% in Pennsylvania in order to overcome the cheating.


45 posted on 10/31/2020 11:25:51 AM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: campaignPete R-CT

The Literary Digest of 1936 actually had the foresight to do that - but they did nothing with the information.

They reported their raw estimate, which was Landon 57-43.

Had they weighted their estimates by the 1932 response, they would have improved their estimates considerably but they still would have been wrong.

I’m not sure why.

One guess I had - did some states have poll taxes that were in effect in 1932 but waived in 1936?


46 posted on 10/31/2020 11:47:59 AM PDT by scrabblehack
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To: scrabblehack

Just saw major Trump Car Parade in the City of Falls Church on Lee Highway Headed towards DC. I was taking my 93 year old father home after lunch at the local Irish pub. It absolutely made his day! Mine to! MAGA !!


47 posted on 10/31/2020 11:56:49 AM PDT by TeddyRay ( I am a Chump 4 Trump)
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To: TeddyRay

[Texans] Like we say up here in the NEK....”You’re not from around here, are ya?”

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=10218241774620700&id=1380292563&_rdr


48 posted on 10/31/2020 11:57:53 AM PDT by Daffynition (*Mega Dittoes and Mega Prayers* & :))
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To: RandFan

If he wins MI, that is pretty big too. And I think he will. PA is dicey, because of all the potential vote fraud.


49 posted on 10/31/2020 12:09:22 PM PDT by MrChips ("To wisdom belongs the apprehension of eternal things." - St. Augustine I donÂ’t think we need one)
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To: Daffynition

That is epic!


50 posted on 10/31/2020 12:31:20 PM PDT by TeddyRay ( I am a Chump 4 Trump)
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To: TeddyRay
Glad you enjoyed it. You may enjoy a pic of a snow plow in my garage.


51 posted on 10/31/2020 12:34:37 PM PDT by Daffynition (*Mega Dittoes and Mega Prayers* & :))
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To: Hojczyk

When Kellyann was still a pollster, she came to our Young Republican club to tell us all about polls.

Bob Dornan told us the same thing.

The questions are rigged to get the results the pollsters want.

And the pollsters want the poll to show their candidate winning.

Private polls conducted by the candidates are probably more accurate but we usually don’t hear those results.


52 posted on 10/31/2020 12:40:50 PM PDT by firebrand
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To: Hojczyk

Allowing for all the ‘shy’ Trump voters which those polls can’t count, this is even better news.


53 posted on 10/31/2020 12:42:29 PM PDT by simpson96
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To: Daffynition

That. Is. Awesome.


54 posted on 10/31/2020 12:43:10 PM PDT by simpson96
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To: simpson96

Thank you. :D

In spite of this being the state represented by Bernie.....out here [the NEK], in the boonies...it’s only Trump.


55 posted on 10/31/2020 12:45:29 PM PDT by Daffynition (*Mega Dittoes and Mega Prayers* & :))
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To: scrabblehack; LS; Coop; Impy

I neglect to say that the ‘20 electorate will differ from the ‘16 electorate.

Will more Hillary voters drop out in ‘20, or Trump voters?

Polling the new voters isn’t that difficult. 18-22 year olds. Plus others.


56 posted on 10/31/2020 1:05:26 PM PDT by campaignPete R-CT (Committee to Re-Elect the President ( CREEP ))
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To: Hojczyk

I despise Luntz with a white hot passion.

Why doesn’t he say this on Fox News?


57 posted on 10/31/2020 1:23:57 PM PDT by Conserv
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To: Hojczyk

As the media is doing, pollsters seem okay with destroying their reputation...


58 posted on 10/31/2020 1:32:07 PM PDT by Magnatron
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To: scrabblehack

4% of the ‘16 electorate has dropped out due to old age and death. That starts Trump at 49.6%, not 50.


59 posted on 10/31/2020 1:33:36 PM PDT by campaignPete R-CT (Committee to Re-Elect the President ( CREEP ))
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To: Paladin2

You are correct. Anne Arundel is becoming another left leaning county. Any country near the DC Swamp is basically blue now.


60 posted on 10/31/2020 2:36:37 PM PDT by Starboard
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