Exactly if McSally wins is purely because of Trumps coattails.
That’s a huge indicator of just how good a night it will be for Trump/GOP.
I just wish it was on the west coast so we would know earlier.
I am watching Collins, in ME as a bell weather and James in MI and Tillis in NC.
If Collins wins, after the left throwing everything they have at her since the Kavanaugh vote, I think that’s an indication of a great GOP night. Given she originally stated she wanted to wait to confirm a Justice until after the election but still voted to confirm, I assume she believes she is comfortably going to win.. we will see.
I am also watching Graham.. each of these races have their own internal dynamics, but if they all or mostly swing GOP, you know Trump has some very big coat tails and it’s going to be a very very good night for the GOP up and down the ballot.
East coast I mean
Collins was the only GOP NO vote on ACB.
Murkoski voted Yes, she is not up this cycle.
I think Collins is expected to lose by several points. If she is reelected, especially by more than a razor thin margin, that will mean something. If she loses in a razor thin margin, it might mean something.
But Collins has been trailing her opponent consistently for months, as I understand it. She may not be much of a bellwether.