I ask because I think we all know (suspect) that were being lied to by CDC and others. Inquiring minds want to know.
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I think after this is over, historians of the epidemic will try and sort out the truth, especially about deaths.
It is always possible to take assumptions and work backwards as you suggested ... sort of reverse-engineer what the "Real" numbers must have been; but, personally, I think there is too much garbage in all the "Independent" variables to do this meaningfully at this time.
A perfect example of creating HAVOC with bad modeling practices would be the entire Global Warming HOAX. Yikes! That one should give all modelers a bad name.
Anyway, I just don't think we can start with bad data on cases, mix it with bad data on deaths, and somehow coax some good data out of the resulting witches brew.
Copying our visiting statistician, Doodlebob, to see if he would care to take a swing at it.