“AT THE MOMENT, we are STARTING TO RISE AGAIN in Daily Cases.”
And how does this correlate to the typical seaonal common cold increase year in year in
out? I’d bet they didn’t track that before.
But you didn’t answer the question. What would the numbers look like now in you original model?
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Since you asked ... here is the original Linear model:
CHINAVIRUS DATA: 1. United States CHINAVIRUS Confirmed Cases through about mid-June 2. Highly (and Deliberately) Contaminated Data from mid-June Forward (contaminated with antibody-test, duplicates, false positives and dubious "Probables") 3. Another Layer of Fraud in both deaths and Cases was added 7/28 Date New Total Linear Mod Cases Cases Since Actual + FAKE Actual + FAKE 4/2/2020 3/14/2020 2,717 3/15/2020 761 3,478 3/16/2020 1,167 4,645 3/17/2020 1,717 6,362 3/18/2020 1,407 7,769 3/19/2020 5,911 13,680 3/20/2020 5,605 19,285 3/21/2020 7,462 26,747 3/22/2020 8,478 35,225 3/23/2020 11,107 46,332 3/24/2020 8,816 55,148 3/25/2020 13,870 69,018 3/26/2020 16,635 85,653 3/27/2020 19,363 105,016 3/29/2020 17,892 142,356 3/30/2020 22,003 164,359 3/31/2020 25,151 189,510 4/1/2020 27,005 216,515 4/2/2020 28,698 245,213 245,213 4/3/2020 32,740 277,953 277,216 4/4/2020 34,123 312,076 309,219 4/5/2020 25,544 337,620 341,222 4/6/2020 30,576 368,196 373,225 4/7/2020 31,916 400,112 405,228 4/8/2020 32,020 432,132 437,231 4/9/2020 33,618 465,750 469,234 4/10/2020 35,551 501,301 501,237 4/11/2020 31,942 533,243 533,240 4/12/2020 27,289 560,532 565,243 4/13/2020 26,623 587,155 597,246 4/14/2020 26,937 614,092 629,249 4/15/2020 30,468 644,560 661,252 4/16/2020 35,221 679,781 693,255 4/17/2020 30,550 710,331 725,258 4/18/2020 29,521 739,852 757,261 4/19/2020 24,413 764,265 789,264 4/20/2020 28,648 792,913 821,267 4/21/2020 32,128 825,041 853,270 4/22/2020 24,051 849,092 885,273 4/23/2020 37,617 886,709 917,276 4/24/2020 38,329 925,038 949,279 4/25/2020 35,858 960,896 981,282 4/26/2020 26,426 987,322 1,013,285 4/27/2020 23,185 1,010,507 1,045,288 4/28/2020 25,258 1,035,765 1,077,291 4/29/2020 28,807 1,064,572 1,109,294 4/30/2020 30,638 1,095,210 1,141,297 5/1/2020 36,242 1,131,452 1,173,300 5/2/2020 29,312 1,160,764 1,205,303 5/3/2020 27,358 1,188,122 1,237,306 5/4/2020 24,778 1,212,900 1,269,309 5/5/2020 24,763 1,237,663 1,301,312 5/6/2020 25,520 1,263,183 1,333,315 5/7/2020 29,440 1,292,623 1,365,318 5/8/2020 29,162 1,321,785 1,397,321 5/9/2020 25,524 1,347,309 1,429,324 5/10/2020 20,329 1,367,638 1,461,327 5/11/2020 18,196 1,385,834 1,493,330 5/12/2020 22,802 1,408,636 1,525,333 5/13/2020 21,712 1,430,348 1,557,336 5/14/2020 27,245 1,457,593 1,589,339 5/15/2020 26,692 1,484,285 1,621,342 5/16/2020 23,488 1,507,773 1,653,345 5/17/2020 19,891 1,527,664 1,685,348 5/18/2020 22,630 1,550,294 1,717,351 5/19/2020 20,279 1,570,573 1,749,354 5/20/2020 22,466 1,593,039 1,781,357 5/21/2020 27,863 1,620,902 1,813,360 5/22/2020 24,192 1,645,094 1,845,363 5/23/2020 21,734 1,666,828 1,877,366 5/24/2020 19,608 1,686,436 1,909,369 5/25/2020 19,790 1,706,226 1,941,372 5/26/2020 19,049 1,725,275 1,973,375 5/27/2020 20,528 1,745,803 2,005,378 5/28/2020 22,658 1,768,461 2,037,381 5/29/2020 25,069 1,793,530 2,069,384 5/30/2020 23,290 1,816,820 2,101,387 5/31/2020 20,350 1,837,170 2,133,390 6/1/2020 22,153 1,859,323 2,165,393 6/2/2020 21,882 1,881,205 2,197,396 6/3/2020 20,578 1,901,783 2,229,399 6/4/2020 22,268 1,924,051 2,261,402 6/5/2020 41,657 1,965,708 2,293,405 6/6/2020 22,876 1,988,584 2,325,408 6/7/2020 18,825 2,007,409 2,357,411 6/8/2020 19,084 2,026,493 2,389,414 6/9/2020 19,056 2,045,549 2,421,417 6/10/2020 20,852 2,066,401 2,453,420 6/11/2020 23,300 2,089,701 2,485,423 6/12/2020 27,221 2,116,922 2,517,426 6/13/2020 25,302 2,142,224 2,549,429 6/14/2020 19,920 2,162,144 2,581,432 6/15/2020 20,806 2,182,950 2,613,435 6/16/2020 25,450 2,208,400 2,645,438 6/17/2020 25,971 2,234,371 2,677,441 6/18/2020 29,280 2,263,651 2,709,444 6/19/2020 33,539 2,297,190 2,741,447 6/20/2020 33,388 2,330,578 2,773,450 6/21/2020 26,079 2,356,657 2,805,453 6/22/2020 31,496 2,388,153 2,837,456 6/23/2020 36,015 2,424,168 2,869,459 6/24/2020 38,386 2,462,554 2,901,462 6/25/2020 42,034 2,504,588 2,933,465 6/26/2020 48,368 2,552,956 2,965,468 6/27/2020 43,581 2,596,537 2,997,471 6/28/2020 40,540 2,637,077 3,029,474 6/29/2020 44,734 2,681,811 3,061,477 6/30/2020 46,042 2,727,853 3,093,480 7/1/2020 52,100 2,779,953 3,125,483 7/2/2020 57,236 2,837,189 3,157,486 7/3/2020 53,399 2,890,588 3,189,489 7/4/2020 45,182 2,935,770 3,221,492 7/5/2020 47,158 2,982,928 3,253,495 7/6/2020 57,905 3,040,833 3,285,498 7/7/2020 56,251 3,097,084 3,317,501 7/8/2020 61,848 3,158,932 3,349,504 7/9/2020 61,067 3,219,999 3,381,507 7/10/2020 71,787 3,291,786 3,413,510 7/11/2020 63,860 3,355,646 3,445,513 7/12/2020 58,349 3,413,995 3,477,516 7/13/2020 65,488 3,479,483 3,509,519 7/14/2020 65,594 3,545,077 3,541,522 7/15/2020 71,670 3,616,747 3,573,525 7/16/2020 78,278 3,695,025 3,605,528 7/17/2020 74,987 3,770,012 3,637,531 7/18/2020 63,259 3,833,271 3,669,534 7/19/2020 65,279 3,898,550 3,701,537 7/20/2020 62,879 3,961,429 3,733,540 7/21/2020 67,140 4,028,569 3,765,543 7/22/2020 72,306 4,100,875 3,797,546 7/23/2020 69,116 4,169,991 3,829,549 7/24/2020 78,336 4,248,327 3,861,552 7/25/2020 67,382 4,315,709 3,893,555 7/26/2020 56,130 4,371,839 3,925,558 7/27/2020 61,571 4,433,410 3,957,561 7/28/2020 64,933 4,498,343 3,989,564 7/29/2020 69,694 4,568,037 4,021,567 7/30/2020 66,948 4,634,985 4,053,570 7/31/2020 70,904 4,705,889 4,085,573 8/1/2020 58,429 4,764,318 4,117,576 8/2/2020 49,294 4,813,612 4,149,579 8/3/2020 48,562 4,862,174 4,181,582 8/4/2020 56,246 4,918,420 4,213,585 8/5/2020 55,148 4,973,568 4,245,588 8/6/2020 58,611 5,032,179 4,277,591 8/7/2020 63,345 5,095,524 4,309,594 8/8/2020 54,199 5,149,723 4,341,597 8/9/2020 49,721 5,199,444 4,373,600 8/10/2020 52,002 5,251,446 4,405,603 8/11/2020 54,511 5,305,957 4,437,606 8/12/2020 54,345 5,360,302 4,469,609 8/13/2020 55,364 5,415,666 4,501,612 8/14/2020 60,600 5,476,266 4,533,615 8/15/2020 53,523 5,529,789 4,565,618 8/16/2020 36,843 5,566,632 4,597,621 8/17/2020 45,395 5,612,027 4,629,624 8/18/2020 43,947 5,655,974 4,661,627 8/19/2020 44,957 5,700,931 4,693,630 8/20/2020 45,341 5,746,272 4,725,633 8/21/2020 50,455 5,796,727 4,757,636 8/22/2020 44,701 5,841,428 4,789,639 8/23/2020 32,718 5,874,146 4,821,642 8/24/2020 41,484 5,915,630 4,853,645 8/25/2020 40,098 5,955,728 4,885,648 8/26/2020 44,637 6,000,365 4,917,651 8/27/2020 45,999 6,046,364 4,949,654 8/28/2020 49,860 6,096,224 4,981,657 8/29/2020 42,854 6,139,078 5,013,660 8/30/2020 34,158 6,173,236 5,045,663 8/31/2020 38,560 6,211,796 5,077,666 9/1/2020 45,775 6,257,571 5,109,669 9/2/2020 33,166 6,290,737 5,141,672 9/3/2020 44,507 6,335,244 5,173,675 9/4/2020 53,813 6,389,057 5,205,678 9/5/2020 42,095 6,431,152 5,237,681 9/6/2020 29,098 6,460,250 5,269,684 9/7/2020 25,325 6,485,575 5,301,687 9/8/2020 28,656 6,514,231 5,333,690 9/9/2020 35,244 6,549,475 5,365,693 9/10/2020 38,688 6,588,163 5,397,696 9/11/2020 48,084 6,636,247 5,429,699 9/12/2020 40,354 6,676,601 5,461,702 9/13/2020 31,857 6,708,458 5,493,705 9/14/2020 40,831 6,749,289 5,525,708 9/15/2020 38,858 6,788,147 5,557,711 9/16/2020 40,154 6,828,301 5,589,714 9/17/2020 46,295 6,874,596 5,621,717 9/18/2020 51,345 6,925,941 5,653,720 9/19/2020 41,462 6,967,403 5,685,723 9/20/2020 37,365 7,004,768 5,717,726 9/21/2020 41,448 7,046,216 5,749,729 9/22/2020 51,721 7,097,937 5,781,732 9/23/2020 41,616 7,139,553 5,813,735 9/24/2020 45,918 7,185,471 5,845,738 9/25/2020 58,713 7,244,184 5,877,741 9/26/2020 43,377 7,287,561 5,909,744 9/27/2020 33,752 7,321,313 5,941,747 9/28/2020 40,298 7,361,611 5,973,750 9/29/2020 44,495 7,406,106 6,005,753 9/30/2020 41,176 7,447,282 6,037,756 10/1/2020 47,389 7,494,671 6,069,759 10/2/2020 54,652 7,549,323 6,101,762 10/3/2020 51,523 7,600,846 6,133,765 10/4/2020 36,066 7,636,912 6,165,768 10/5/2020 42,732 7,679,644 6,197,771 10/6/2020 43,102 7,722,746 6,229,774 10/7/2020 53,478 7,776,224 6,261,777 10/8/2020 57,539 7,833,763 6,293,780 10/9/2020 60,715 7,894,478 6,325,783 10/10/2020 51,067 7,945,545 6,357,786