With Pennsylvania and Florida his chances become very good indeed.
We must assume that these adverse polls are accurate and proceed to campaign under that assumption. Trump must win the next two debates, as Bannon just said on air, and dramatically shift the focus and method of the campaign.
Merely citing 2016 to make us feel better about prospects in 2020 might be reassuring but it is no way to campaign for the presidency.
I usually watch Bannon in the evenings. I just can’t imagine this country under Biden/Harris. If they win, I would say the people who voted for these clowns deserve what they are in for.
Yes the all the polls are BS is wearing thin. They were damn close in 18. What I find almost incomprehensible is the large rat preference for Congress in this poll because as you say it has a good track record.
We must assume that these adverse polls are accurate and proceed to campaign under that assumption.
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That is not a logical assumption.
Monmouth results in 2016 make their polls credible. But, 2016 results is not necessarily a predictor of results in 2020. Looking at the crosstabs, I suspect that the turnout model that they used may not be correct. All of the registered Democrats are saying that they will vote, but historically many Registered Democrats don’t bother to vote. This year, with the Democrats scared witless over COVID-19, that number may be lower than in 2016. The polls, the narratives, and the historical data aren’t adding up for this election. I think that anyone who predicts the outcome is a fool or a partisan.
“We must assume that these adverse polls are accurate..”
I don’t think so.
These polls are designed to scare the Trump campaign into shifting “center“ and risk losing their conservative base. The President is not falling for it, so he will win.
President Trump does something better than “campaigning” - he tells the truth.
The Democrats rely on brainwashing - and the people dumb enough to be brainwashed are already brainwashed.
President will win because Biden and the Democrats got nothin’.
These polls are BS.
On October 6th, Monmouth polls are 80% accurate?
Really, Steve Bannon?
How does one know that?
How does one prove that.
One can't of course.
Bannon is confusing November election day polls, which can be checked by the same day election, with polls that are done weeks before an election, that can't be checked nor proven to be "80% correct".