If he is down 12 points he has got to make up about one point every two days between now and the election, assuming no one is already voting in Pennsylvania. Fortunately, I don't think that is the challenge.
I do believe that the field of undecideds has narrowed considerably so I'm in the school that the election will be decided on turn out. Clearly, intensity exists on both sides but it is hard to believe that a top down campaign by a candidate with absolutely no charisma and a dodgy biography can stimulate the kind of turnout that broken glass Republicans are sure to deliver.
Moreover, I have heard that Trump has as many as 3,500,000 foot soldiers in the field and Biden has neglected the ground game up until now when he mounts a dilatory effort. He suffers under the contradiction of bunkering down because of the virus against foot soldiers banging on doors in person which is the necessary component of a ground game.
This disparity in ground game logistics might well explain at least partially Democrats vociferous objection to Trump's public appearances without masks etc.
Now that Trump is benched for some time and now that the Barrett hearings will consume much of the oxygen, Trump must find a way to virtually campaign and combine it with troops on the ground knocking on doors and surrogates in the precincts conducting mini rallies.
