[LS]

1. This is the second time Trump has flat out said we’d take the House. Suspect they are seeing something.

2. Word from UT4, one of the seats we’d need to have: McAdams (D) is running negative ads already-—unusual for him-—and a friend there says it looks like his polling is bad. Also said a poll was taken a month ago on this race & never saw the light of day. Word is it was very bad for McAdams and good for Burgess Owens in the range of 9-10 points.

2. This was a seat Mia Love lost by 1. If Owens is running that far ahead, it “may” portend a lot nationally. Hearing, for example, Sean Parnell is running strong in his PA district.

3. All these little indicators suggest we might be able to get the House.

4.Remember so far no one is taking into account the closed schools and the likely (minimum) 30% decrease in student turnout. In districts like NM2 (New Mexico State) this would amount to 3,000 fewer D voters. MSU is out 100% so imagine what that does in that district.

I am doing a MWF column on politics now on uncoverdc.com so a new column will be out tomorrow.

[Lurker]

Thanks, Larry. I hear Casten is in trouble here in IL. Any word on that race? Ives is doing solid retail campaigning in this District.

L

[hawkaw]

Thanks for posting this. Interesting stuff.

[Buckeye McFrog]

If this actually happens that salon owner will have to enter the witness protection program.

[caww]

Our schools are back in session in this area ....pop.. 30,000...and no issues thus far.

[hsmomx3]

Thanks for the info!!!

Was it FNC who said yesterday that Biden is up 10 in AZ? I find this very hard to believe unless they polled people in Tucson and Flagstaff.

[KC_Conspirator]

Suspect they are seeing something.

Recent polling shows a big swing; that will translate to down ticket votes.

[KC_Conspirator]

Well hell, I just noticed LS, you know this better than I do.

[karnage]

Encouraging news but everyone must work very hard in their own districts for their candidates.

This is not an ordinary election. Dems have gone off the deep end and fully embraced overt violent action by their unhinged left - what used to be the “fringe” but which now runs their show.

[JayGalt]

That is great news. I was wondering because DJT traditionally doesn’t over-promise. He must think we have a good chance to flip the house. Glad you are thinking along the same lines.

[Impy]

I noticed the rats have come up with some BS plagiarism allegations against Owens, they must be scared.

[God luvs America]

While i am worried about mail in voter fraud, my hope are, and i suspect, Trump is ahead of the curve on this and has a way to combat it.

[Political Junkie Too]

Yesterday's release of polls on RCP didn't show any bounce for President Trump.

The Fox News Polls were D+2 at worst. Monmouth was D+10. Quinnipiac was roughly D+7. The Hill/HarrisX poll was D+5.

Any idea why the polls aren't moving since the convention?

On the other hand, the CNN poll has this nugget:

P2B. Is that more a vote FOR Joe Biden or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump? (N=522)

• For Biden: 45%
• Against Trump: 51%

P2T. Is that more a vote FOR Donald Trump or more a vote AGAINST Joe Biden? (N=432)

• For Trump: 77%
• Against Biden: 20%

Trump voters are more enthusiastic about voting FOR him than Biden voters are for voting for Biden.

-PJ

[painter]

Bump

[laplata]

“I am doing a MWF column on politics now on uncoverdc.com so a new column will be out tomorrow”.

I’ll be reading your columns. Thanks for your good posts.

[djstex]

Thank you for the ping!