They probably are.
But if you look at the charts at World-o-meter, it's clear that we are already on the downside of the second bump. And that second bump was a lot smaller than the first bump. It may be that we will get a third bump in September. But I don't know if they can shut down the country because "fifty people died yesterday". But they'll probably try.
“But I don’t know if they can shut down the country because “fifty people died yesterday”
Right. They are already cheating by concentrating on whatever 4-5 states are peaking at the moment so they can ignore all the states that have now peaked once or twice, second peak being lower (with a few exceptions), and are now trending down.