The Chinavirus seems to be attuned to certain latitudes, and I cannot explain why.
For whatever reason, the New Cases are coming from CA, FL, TX, NC and AZ. I would note that CA is NOT one of the more aggressive at reopening, yet CA is the current HOT ZONE.
It is overly simplistic to say this is about weather. If the Chinavirus had a preferred temperature range, then WHY WOULD IT MOVE SOUTH AS THE WEATHER GETS HOTTER??
This is still a mystery.
United States CHINAVIRUS Cases (includes "Recoveries") Date New Total New Linear Model Cases Cases Since Actual Actual 5/9/2020 3/14/2020 2,717 3/15/2020 761 3,478 3/16/2020 1,167 4,645 3/17/2020 1,717 6,362 3/18/2020 1,407 7,769 3/19/2020 5,911 13,680 3/20/2020 5,605 19,285 3/21/2020 7,462 26,747 3/22/2020 8,478 35,225 3/23/2020 11,107 46,332 3/24/2020 8,816 55,148 3/25/2020 13,870 69,018 3/26/2020 16,635 85,653 3/27/2020 19,363 105,016 3/28/2020 19,448 124,464 3/29/2020 17,892 142,356 3/30/2020 22,003 164,359 3/31/2020 25,151 189,510 4/1/2020 27,005 216,515 4/2/2020 28,698 245,213 4/3/2020 32,740 277,953 4/4/2020 34,123 312,076 4/5/2020 25,544 337,620 4/6/2020 30,576 368,196 4/7/2020 31,916 400,112 4/8/2020 32,020 432,132 4/9/2020 33,618 465,750 4/10/2020 35,551 501,301 4/11/2020 31,942 533,243 4/12/2020 27,289 560,532 4/13/2020 26,623 587,155 4/14/2020 26,937 614,092 4/15/2020 30,468 644,560 4/16/2020 35,221 679,781 4/17/2020 30,550 710,331 4/18/2020 29,521 739,852 4/19/2020 24,413 764,265 4/20/2020 28,648 792,913 4/21/2020 32,128 825,041 4/22/2020 24,051 849,092 4/23/2020 37,617 886,709 4/24/2020 38,329 925,038 4/25/2020 35,858 960,896 4/26/2020 26,426 987,322 4/27/2020 23,185 1,010,507 4/28/2020 25,258 1,035,765 4/29/2020 28,807 1,064,572 4/30/2020 30,638 1,095,210 5/1/2020 36,242 1,131,452 5/2/2020 29,312 1,160,764 5/3/2020 27,358 1,188,122 5/4/2020 24,778 1,212,900 5/5/2020 24,763 1,237,663 5/6/2020 25,520 1,263,183 5/7/2020 29,440 1,292,623 5/8/2020 29,162 1,321,785 5/9/2020 25,524 1,347,309 1,347,309 5/10/2020 20,329 1,367,638 1,369,669 5/11/2020 18,196 1,385,834 1,392,029 5/12/2020 22,802 1,408,636 1,414,389 5/13/2020 21,712 1,430,348 1,436,749 5/14/2020 27,245 1,457,593 1,459,109 5/15/2020 26,692 1,484,285 1,481,469 5/16/2020 23,488 1,507,773 1,503,829 5/17/2020 19,891 1,527,664 1,526,189 5/18/2020 22,630 1,550,294 1,548,549 5/19/2020 20,279 1,570,573 1,570,909 5/20/2020 22,466 1,593,039 1,593,269 5/21/2020 27,863 1,620,902 1,615,629 5/22/2020 24,192 1,645,094 1,637,989 5/23/2020 21,734 1,666,828 1,660,349 5/24/2020 19,608 1,686,436 1,682,709 5/25/2020 19,790 1,706,226 1,705,069 5/26/2020 19,049 1,725,275 1,727,429 5/27/2020 20,528 1,745,803 1,749,789 5/28/2020 22,658 1,768,461 1,772,149 5/29/2020 25,069 1,793,530 1,794,509 5/30/2020 23,290 1,816,820 1,816,869 5/31/2020 20,350 1,837,170 1,839,229 6/1/2020 22,153 1,859,323 1,861,589 6/2/2020 21,882 1,881,205 1,883,949 6/3/2020 20,578 1,901,783 1,906,309 6/4/2020 22,268 1,924,051 1,928,669 6/5/2020 41,657 1,965,708 1,951,029 6/6/2020 22,876 1,988,584 1,973,389 6/7/2020 18,825 2,007,409 1,995,749 6/8/2020 19,084 2,026,493 2,018,109 6/9/2020 19,056 2,045,549 2,040,469 6/10/2020 20,852 2,066,401 2,062,829 6/11/2020 23,300 2,089,701 2,085,189 6/12/2020 27,221 2,116,922 2,107,549 6/13/2020 2,129,909 6/14/2020 - 2,152,269 6/15/2020 - 2,174,629 6/16/2020 - 2,196,989 6/17/2020 - 2,219,349 6/18/2020 - 2,241,709 6/19/2020 - 2,264,069
Yikes! And it’s been in the 90*s here in the OC.
Thanks for tracking this. Doesn’t really look like a big flux to me-and Friday is often larger isn’t it? Couldn’t it just be that they are doing more testing?
I wonder what the hospital utilization looks like.
FYI there is an as yet un-sourced attribution to Newsom that he said something like, “we’re still bringing in 20 a day from MEX” meaning he’s still putting at least 20 new COVID-19 patients into nursing homes & other facilities as he can as much as he can using illegals from across the border. We’ve very compassionate here in CA as you know ;)
I cannot help but raise the question of some control plan. AND, if Florida, why not Georgia, which started opening up sooner and more aggressively?
Fornicalia is suspicious because its reported outcomes were so low early on with fairly heavy quarantines - unlike other major population states - and now they are on the rise. Of course some commerce is natural - mandatory; people have to eat, get meds... whatever. Only in china could they weld apartment doors shut. AND, speaking of China, their reporting has been highly untrustworthy.
This southern outbreak may require a good epidemiologist sleuth to try to find the truth.
Viruses can continue to spread in high humidity and with lots of air conditioning. That was why the Hong Kong flu lasted so long, turns out Hong Kong is as air conditioned as Houston.