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To: blueplum

EXPIRY DATE Coronavirus outbreaks die out within 70 days regardless of lockdown measures, expert claims

.
Prof Isaac Ben-Israel has suggested that all efforts to curb the spread of Covid-19 will lead to the same results because the killer bug is “self-limiting”.

The Israeli academic, who is head of the Security Studies program at Tel Aviv University, has said his analysis proves the virus peaks at 40 days before declining.

His calculations show the pattern of daily new infections as a percentage of accumulated number of infections.

They start at about 30 per cent and then decrease to 10 per cent after six weeks, before dropping to less than five per cent on the seventh week - or about 49 days.

The former chief Cybernetics adviser to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu wrote in a self-published article this week: “Our analysis shows that this is a constant pattern across countries.

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/11470621/coronavirus-outbreaks-expert/

interesting theory


244 posted on 04/26/2020 11:07:05 PM PDT by blueplum ("...this moment is your moment: it belongs to you... " President Donald J. Trump, Jan 20, 2017))
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To: blueplum

RUSSIA

Scores of doctors unable to treat patients with adequate protective equipment have reportedly quit, hospitals are under resourced and overwhelmed ...

...The effects of the pandemic on top of the oil price collapse and the country’s main revenue stream appear to be destabilising the Russian regime.

Medical staff say they have run out of oxygen and ambulance crews queue for hours to deliver patients to overloaded hospitals.

Billionaire oligarchs have bought up desperately needed ventilators for private use in their mansions amid public anger that the government is favouring the rich.

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/11483458/vladimir-putin-kremlin-toppled-falls-coronavirus-crisis-russia/


245 posted on 04/26/2020 11:11:38 PM PDT by blueplum ("...this moment is your moment: it belongs to you... " President Donald J. Trump, Jan 20, 2017))
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To: blueplum

We saw rising cases plateau within 2 weeks after social distancing and lock downs. That is about 15 days. Peak flattens with slight downward slope. If you let it run wild instead of social distancing and lockdowns, in 3 weeks people will start social distancing and quarantining themselves. Seeing a neighbor drop dead in the street typically stimulates a self correcting mechanism.


252 posted on 04/27/2020 12:06:20 AM PDT by justa-hairyape (The user name is sarcastic. Although at times it may not appear that way.)
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