We saw rising cases plateau within 2 weeks after social distancing and lock downs. That is about 15 days. Peak flattens with slight downward slope. If you let it run wild instead of social distancing and lockdowns, in 3 weeks people will start social distancing and quarantining themselves. Seeing a neighbor drop dead in the street typically stimulates a self correcting mechanism.
speaking of dead on the street, other than an early, single case of someone collapsing in NYC Chinatown, have you heard of any other case of sidewalk collapse in the US since then? I don’t think I have