Posted on 04/23/2020 8:44:21 PM PDT by Jayster
Dr. Erickson, DO Accelerated Urgent Care, Bakersfield, CA Full press conference: https://youtu.be/xfLVxx_lBLU Press conference credit 23 ABC News KERO
Dr Erickson lays out the numbers and facts about the Covid19 and other types of flu.
It is NOT what the MSM is reporting.
I would LOVE for more information on this coming out. Farci sickens me
btt
All true.
The purpose of so-called "child proof" caps on poisons isn't to decrease the number of poisonings. The purpose of so-called "child proof" caps on poisons is to decrease the number of lawsuits for negligence, after poisonings inevitably occur.
Well there you go. The law is at work to poison more people, literally. Great tool there, the law. It makes people die.
What are you talking about? I was just making a point about the Coronavirus being more deadly than the common flu.
I used NYC because it is the largest sample we have for actual death rates. The death rate in NYC is without question already higher than the flu and will continue to rise.
I said nothing about the shutdown. Whether it saved lives or not or how many it saved is an open question. Nobody knows the answer to that. You don’t, I don’t and Dr Fauci doesn’t either.
But operationally you and I may not be far apart when it comes to the shutdown. I think it was way too broad. For small business, for example, where a few customers are in the store at one time and there are only 2 employees it is just stupid to define it as non-essential and order it closed while Walmart stays open.
There are many more examples that I’m sure you could cite. Hopefully the move back to normal life will happen faster than planned.
I hope so.
My only caution: The deaths will be higher than we are being told. But that is a price that has to be paid.
Here’s the whole thing (over an hour long) unedited from my favorite youtube channel:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D5GDPCUUBEE
Take some time and transcribe the salient points.
This is the best video or article I’ve seen on this virus since it first became a thing. And I’ve seen a lot.
The doctor totally ignores the impact of the shutdown on the infection and death rate.
He actually covers every single thing you mentioned in that post if you watch the entire video, which can be found here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D5GDPCUUBEE
I watched a bit more if the video and I will take him at his word for his extrapolation of test data percentages to full states. But his numbers seem very high for to me.
My biggest problem is that our best testbed for this virus is NYC. It is easy to understand that NYC would have a much higher infection rate than NY state and certainly the U.S. as whole. Too many people in too small a space.
But the NYC testbed predicts higher death rates than those of the flu. The current number of deaths In NYC is about 11,718. The population of NYC is about 8.4 million. If every single person in NYC had been infected the death rate would be about .14%. Already this exceeds the stated rate of the common flu of .1%. And all of NYC has not been infected so the actual number is higher. It could be much higher, we really don’t know.
My data says that one month ago the total cumulative deaths in NY State was 385. Probably half or more in NYC, I didn’t check. So the deaths we are discussing here essentially all occurred in a one month period. Not over a flu season. Not over a year.
Since we don’t have data specific to NYC on the population infection percentage I really can’t say how much higher that .14% the death rate actually is. But 2X or 3X would not be surprising. It could be more. We’ll eventually find out.
But main point is that the NYC testbed (as I call it) tells how humans die as a percentage of those that are infected with the disease. Not just New Yorkers, humans, the kind that live in California, Nebraska, Montana...
I see no reason why we would not use the NYC death rates as our best current estimate of just how deadly this virus is.
As to infections however, I’d much rather be in Montana than New York. You are much less likely to get the bug if you live in Montana. But, if you do I see no reason why your odds of survival, while very good, are any better than for an infected New Yorker.
But I hope nobody interprets my comments here to infer that we need to continue the lockdown. I think it probably helped in places like NY but it was to broadly applied and it needs to be ended as fast as possible.
Acrtually, I see NYC as a test bed for “worst case scenario”. And even then, the numbers don’t justify continuing, much less starting the lockdown.
And then there is the first 15 seconds of the video. i.e. the death numbers are being inflated.
And then there is the fact that, unlike the flu, this mainly attacks the elderly. And that most of those that do die area already sick from something else. The flu attacks the young and healthy. That is something that people should be more concerned about, and I say that as a member of “the elderly”.
But I hope nobody interprets my comments here to infer that we need to continue the lockdown. I think it probably helped in places like NY but it was to broadly applied and it needs to be ended as fast as possible.
North Dakota is not NY and doesn’t need to concern itself with the problems NY faces other than to maybe send them a couple of bucks to help out.
We need to elect ONLY politicians that get it. It's NOT hard to understand, computer models are no better than the morons who program it and the dumba$$es who enter the mathematical data.
ANYONE who is mathematically educated to even high school level that has looked at the glowbull warming silliness knows they can't be as stupid as they pretend to be. Saying it another way, both the COVID-19 silliness AND the glowbull warming silly mathematical projections are at best crap.
And using the word crap is being nice and gentle. Their products are actually far worse than that. But the good out of all of this is that the average voter will now get it when a Republican says that DemonRATS are dangerous. Imagine a RAT shutting down the country for a CLIMATE EMERGENCY!
Questions that need to be answered include a big one: Did Fauxi and his co-conspirators make their gross mistakes on purpose? You can tell by the wording of my question that I think Fauxi, Gates and others as a minimum should face multiple charges of fraud. And we need real judges who help put these clowns in jail, as a minimum, for the rest of their life.
I personally think a firing squad would be more appropriate.
23,000 dead / 19,000,000 people in NY state is 0.0012 is 0.1 % not 0.01%.
You measure the population death toll of an epidemic after it has run its course, not at the beginning. NYC has between 20 and 25 % testing positive for antibodies, upstate, 3 or 4%. The epidemic has not run its course.
Dengue is carried by tropical mosquitos. 86 deg F doesn’t bother it. MERS? Warmer than that in the Midddle East. Covid 19? Doesn’t like UV light. Temperature not as big a factor.
As we progress through discussion on when to open society back up, I’ve noticed that people are expecting way more rigor to be applied to the case to open than was applied to the case for closing.
We closed because of what we didn’t know.
We had models predicting up to 2.2 million deaths worldwide and 100-220 thousand in the US, even with all of the precautions applied.
It turns out that we are at 230,00 worldwide and 67,000 here in the US.
The default position is that we are open. If there is a rigorous case to be made, it is by folks that want to keep us closed.
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