We’re going to hit 2500, maybe 2600, but nowhere near 3500. It’s a bad day, but we are still peaking at about 2,000/day. Don’t dwell on single days, or even 2 or 3. It will go down.
I am expecting the Northeastern states numbers (cases and deaths) to gradually go down over the next month or so.
Meanwhile, I would anticipate the southern (and perhaps some other) states that open up will start going up in cases in the next couple of weeks, and up in deaths in the next month or so.
The other X factor is urbanization. Rural states should generally be OK as long as they continue to ban large gatherings.
Cities to watch in the next month include Atlanta, the Tennessee large cities and Las Vegas if they open up for business.