[Vermont Lt]

Just an update on some shipping information FROM China in March:

https://www.jiffa.or.jp/en/news/entry-6413.html

“ The volume of containerized shipments exported to the U.S. from 10 major countries and regions in Asia plunged 16.6% year on year to 926,673 TEUs in March, as those from China decreased notably due to the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, according to American research company Descartes Datamyne. In the first three months (January-March), a total of 3,489,831 TEUs were moved on the route, down 8.3%.

Looking at containers from Asia by origin, those from China plummeted 36% to 360,083 TEUs, coming close to the 350,000 TEUs registered in February 2009, a month still under the influence of the Lehman Brothers Holdings, Inc. bankruptcy. Finishing in second place, containers from South Korea decreased a slight 0.4% to 163,398 TEUs. ”

Other reports indicate that demand for Chines products for export are expected to be down as much as 32% in the next month (YOY). This is due to the international impact of the virus.

This will leave a mark.

[Fury]

“Factors associated with hospitalization and critical illness among 4,103 patients with COVID-19 disease in New York City”

From abstract:
“Strongest hospitalization risks were age ≥75 years (OR 66.8, 95% CI, 44.7-102.6), age 65-74 (OR 10.9, 95% CI, 8.35-14.34), BMI>40 (OR 6.2, 95% CI, 4.2-9.3), and heart failure (OR 4.3 95% CI, 1.9-11.2).“

- see https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.08.20057794v1

[LilFarmer]

NEW YORK CITY

Cases: 106,813
Total hospitalized*: 29,335
NYC confirmed deaths: 6,182

AGE / CASES / HOSPITALIZED / (DEATHS)
(Per 100,000 people)
0-17 119.87.......11.47.....(0)
18-44. 1200.53.......132.36......(8.43)
45-64 1886.97...... 519.98.....(70.48)
65-74 1928.97..... 938.04.....(216.13)
75+ 2154.03..... 1,357.83.....(536.40)

As of: April 13, 1 p.m.

Deaths in NYC Reported by New York State: 7,349 (as of April 13, 12: 30 p.m.)
https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page

For reference:
NEW YORK STATE

General population underlying conditions:

New York State

Hypertension - 31.7% (4.9 million)

https://www.health.ny.gov/statistics/prevention/injury_prevention/information_for_action/docs/2018-08_ifa_report.pdf

Diabetes - 12.5% (2 million)
Pre-diabetes - 36.2% (5.4 million)

http://main.diabetes.org/dorg/PDFs/Advocacy/burden-of-diabetes/new-york.pdf

Obesity - 62.7 (12 million)

https://www.health.ny.gov/prevention/obesity/

[grey_whiskers]

Not verified, but still possible food for thought.