[amorphous]

So happens, SeekAndFind and I were discussing this very subject on the 31st:

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Coronavirus: Sweden Is Going For Herd Immunity. Will It Work?

3/31/2020, 8:10:51 PM · 36 of 65
amorphous to SeekAndFind

One thing that may save them is a cure, if HCQ, or other treatments prove to lower deaths. Barring that, the number of those dying from the Coronavirus in Sweden is/will double every three days (current rate). The question becomes, how high will the rate go once their hospitals become inundated with sick and dying patients - that's when the UK changed their mind about going for herd immunity.

Another issue, the number of dead is baked in, even after two weeks from the day the quarantine begins - so again, hopefully new treatments will lower the legality of the virus and save them from their own foolishness. Some, especially the elderly will no doubt self-quarantine.

https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/3830277/posts?page=36#36

[Steve Van Doorn]

From your chart of the world new deaths daily and Sweden.
You have world total number of deaths as of tomorrow at 8,884. The official number today (one day before your estimate) 52,855

I would suggest you slightly under estimated the incubation time maybe? If the world health leaders are say the peak is around April 15 you're graph should be pulled back a little and I do NOT expect death rates to go that high. Not with the death rates today.