The equations are generated through the polynomial curve-fit trendline function of Excel. Even though the growth is exponential, a polynomial also shows the curve to within a few thousands of the actual value.
The R squared is a measure of how closely the curve fits the data.
What I see here is that the number of cases is rising faster than deaths or recoveries. Since deaths occur from 2 to 8 weeks after the infection, I expect the rise of deaths will lag behind the rise of new cases. The same applies to recoveries.
I only started keeping a record since Mar. 12. Prior to that, I was only checking the death rate, which held steady at about 2.5% for a while. Now I wish I had that data to compare.
I get my data from Johns Hopkins. Refresh the website for the latest data.
Just be sure to understand that fitting data like you have plotted there is only good for interpolation, not extrapolation. So this doesnt infer anything about where we will be next week.
Extrapolation is the mistake made by so called climate change experts that show the hockey stick, exponential growth based on an interpolation fit. The higher order the fit, yours are second order, the more rapid the extrapolation will run away.