The BAD NEWS is that I found another good fit for the data since March 22, and it is also exponential though at a lower rate.
ONE TIME ONLY, I am posting with both equations. Tomorrow I will just show the new one.
The "Reduced Exponential Cases" would hit 1 million cases by April 6th ... unless it too breaks.
United States COVID-19 Confirmed Cases Date Daily Total Reduced Original Growth Cases Exponential Exponential Actual Actual Cases Cases 3/14/2020 2,717 2,717 3/15/2020 761 3,478 3,631 3/16/2020 1,167 4,645 4,904 3/17/2020 1,717 6,362 6,696 3/18/2020 1,407 7,769 9,249 3/19/2020 5,911 13,680 12,926 3/20/2020 5,605 19,285 18,290 3/21/2020 7,462 26,747 26,211 3/22/2020 8,478 35,225 35,225 38,060 3/23/2020 11,107 46,332 44,031 56,027 3/24/2020 8,816 55,148 55,039 83,654 3/25/2020 13,870 69,018 68,799 126,753 3/26/2020 16,635 85,653 85,999 195,004 3/27/2020 19,363 105,016 107,498 304,781 3/28/2020 . 134,373 484,221 3/29/2020 . 167,966 782,474 3/30/2020 . 209,957 1,286,881 3/31/2020 . 262,447 2,155,400 4/1/2020 . 328,058 4/2/2020 . 410,073 4/3/2020 . 512,591 4/4/2020 . 640,739 4/5/2020 . 800,924 4/6/2020 . 1,001,155