Posted on 03/26/2020 10:14:19 AM PDT by Mariner
Thread #27 here:
http://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3828191/posts?page=1
Branch Covidian without the purple Kool-Aid. Yep.
“He revised his models to reflect social distancing.
And under scathing rebuke from the Oxford team that essentially called his initial projections trash.”
Right, but you have all these stories out yesterday and today saying that the danger has been way over stated, they Oxford Study has caste a great shade on it.
Then you have stories that the Imperial College is back tracking, they have greatly revised their numbers and the UK has plenty of healthcare resources for this.
Dr. Birx comes out today and says UK has revised, it’s not 500,000, it’s 20,000, we need antibody test to explain the data we are seeing, there are either lots of asymptotic carriers (Oxford Study) or it’s simply not as transmissible as we had thought.
Then I find that Dr. Fergeson of Imperial College said that they had not revised, in fact it is probably more transmissible.
How does all of that get so confused by people who are the experts on this?
The deaths from an epidemic obey a standard distribution, right?
So when you stack up a bunch of standard distributions, what do you get?
“Why won’t they have plenty of ICU beds then?”
There is no shortage of ANY beds. Period. You’ve been gaslighted into thinking there is a shortage.
So, Trump’s top notch team isn’t so top notch after all. They should have caught that.
Sure. Do your bit.
Colorado sees largest single day jump in new Coronavirus cases: 344 new cases discovered since yesterday. Today’s stats:
1,430 cases (up from 1,086)
184 hospitalized (up from 147)
39 counties (up from 36)
10,122 people tested (up from 8,064)
24 deaths (up from 19)
https://twitter.com/MarcSallinger/status/1243314525656449024
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This silly virus—it is supposed to be just over there—and then just over there—and just over there...and there...and there...and there...and now Colorado goes boom...
de Blasio played a stupid game.
And won the stupid prize.
13 Deaths in a Day: An ‘Apocalyptic’ Coronavirus Surge at an NYC Hospital
https://www.yahoo.com/news/13-deaths-day-apocalyptic-coronavirus-120831502.html
You smell a rat. So do I. He has math issues which are suspicious in someone with the statistical background he claims.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
The Sorting Hat has spoken. He’s a Flu Bro.
“the traders think the pandemic is all a hoax “
The traders think this pandemic is overblown. They are most likely comparing it to the flu numbers, car accident deaths and etc.
Once they see the virus fade away to pop up again the market will drop again. China is still not back on their feet. There are new waves of infections going through Asia.
New Chris Martenson video:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCD2-QVBQi48RRQTD4Jhxu8w
This man has forgotten more about CV than most folks will ever know....
“we need antibody test to explain the data we are seeing,”
Correct.
Because if half of everyone have already been exposed, all our efforts at social distancing are a waste.
IF half have already contracted the virus, open everything up and let ‘er rip.
But we must know FOR SURE.
“Their death rate will be lower”
Give it a week or two the death rates will start to climb. When a person goes on a ventilator they come off of it in a day or two. This will create build up/line for the ventilator.
“Give it a week or two the death rates will start to climb.”
Give it a day or two and the models and plans for mitigation will flip flop all over the place, you’ll wonder if 2 Trillion is way too much or way too little, then you’ll get a queasy feeling and wonder if we have truly stepped through the looking glass.
Oh sorry. I didn’t realize you were a flubro.
“there are either lots of asymptotic carriers”
asymptomatic
I do that too. I find myself correcting it on review. I have a CS and math background, so asymptotic is a word, just not the right one.
You might even have caught that from me on some earlier post I didn’t adequately proof. Sorry.
“You might even have caught that from me on some earlier post I didn’t adequately proof.”
Community transmission.
R0 of at least 1. I’ll keep my eyes peeled for further transmission. Thank you for your suppression efforts!
GA
There have been 546 new cases of the coronavirus disease known as COVID-19 confirmed in Georgia since Tuesday night, state health officials announced late Thursday.
The latest update from the Georgia Department of Public Health, at 7 p.m. Thursday, shows there are now 1,643 cases of the disease in the state, and the number of people who died stands at 56. That is 3.41% of the cases in Georgia resulting in death.
Just in a seven-hour period since noon Thursday, the state reported 118 new cases of COVID-19, and eight additional deaths.
Officials said 509 Georgians have been hospitalized because of the disease so far. That’s 30.98% of all cases seen in the state up to now.
There have been 1,646 tests conducted by state health officials while commercial labs have conducted another 7,302 tests.
People in the 18 to 59 age group make up the majority of cases seen in the state, 57% of cases in all, followed by people in the 60 and over age group (35%) and newborns to 17-year-olds (1%). The ages of patients is unknown in 7% of COVID-19 cases in Georgia.
BNO Newsroom
@BNODesk
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UPDATE: New York City reports 1,239 new cases of coronavirus and 84 new deaths, raising state total to 38,977 cases and 469 dead
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