Thank you. Your eloquence exceeds mine. 5,000 deaths cumulative by a week to ten days. If we have been successful “staying on the couch” there is the asymptote and it should drop of quickly. We can do what no country in the world could do. “AMerican Exceptionalism.”
At some point - maybe 3am - I finally realized what the hell you were trying to convey, why it was important, and how I could examine the pattern. I got up and started playing around with a couple of different versions, but finally settled on comparing the US to Italy. Not only are they the poster child for a worst case scenario, but I also thought they might have the most accurate/reliable reported mortality data.
To be honest, I was pretty surprised at the nation-nation delta over the time series. I thought we'd be somewhere closer to Italy's growth rate, in terms of doubling rates, etc. As you know, it's been a few days now testing, re-testing, and having you/other people take a look before I decided to come out of the closet.
I know I keep repeating myself, but if anyone wants a copy of the model, just shoot me a PM. Play around, modify, check the data, knock yourself out. I'm the last guy to be wed to results - the more eyeballs the merrier.
If the projections are within some level of accuracy ie existing HCS can handle the impact, what it tells us is that Trump got ahead of this in the nick of time. He should take a couple of laps, and a few bows for his accolades. At the very least, he single-handedly shifted this country's trajectory to controlled borders, domestic production, citizens first, and pro self defense.