Corona Virus Daily Thread #24

[Mariner]

Daily thread #23 here:

http://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3826809/posts?page=1

[bgill]

NY - tops 9000 per FNC

[CJ Wolf]

Good news!

[Andy from Chapel Hill]

I would have to ask my wife, who is out shopping right now.

Usually for her studies, participants have to meet a long list of qualification factors in order to have clinically significant results. And, each study is different.

But, there are about 1.5 million people in the USA with some form of lupus. So, there is a big pool to address with a quick questionaire.

[gleeaikin]

Yesterday my renter a hospital nurse gave me a rent check. I put on gloves before taking it, put it in a plastic bag, and will deposit it on Monday or Tuesday. I saw that it can stay 24 hours on cardboard and 2 or 3 days on plastic and stainless steel. Anyone have information on paper including money and checks. I guess one could iron those.

[PA Engineer]

That is the evil empire health system across the river from the competing health system.

I believe they are doing this to leverage themselves to take over other hospitals who will be financially struggling when this is over. They have a long track record of doing this.

It's about money and not lives.

[cgbg]

There is no good plan.

Lockdown destroys the economy.

Let it ride destroys the health care system and leads to a massive body count.

“The plan” tries to thread the needle without on again/off again lockdowns in a wild and unpredictable ride.

There are only bad plans.

[BusterDog]

“I can’t bear the thought of not being able to sire children”

It’s overrated

[Black Agnes]

Speak for yourself.

[cgbg]

If you focus on deaths, you will miss the big picture.

Focus on hospitalizations.

If the health care system gets overwhelmed, the big death counts will be from the lives that are routinely saved by hospitals today that will not be saved—far far more than ever die from the CV.

[AppyPappy]

I have two but they are grown now.

[RightGeek]

At New York prison, Harvey Weinstein put in isolation after contracting virus - https://www.niagara-gazette.com/covid-19/at-new-york-prison-harvey-weinstein-put-in-isolation-after/article_26e38374-6c7d-11ea-9f8a-3b2c09e7817d.html

[null and void]

The extremely low recovered numbers are worrisome - 29 for the entire US

It takes a much longer time for an otherwise healthy person to recover than it does for someone already on the threshold to die of the Wuhan Virus.

Recovery numbers will pick up.

[null and void]

Who in FReeperLand has connections?

Laz...

[datura]

US Patient Zero was 33, spent 5 weeks in the hospital

[Solson]

They need to be practical with lockdowns. Cities over 5 million and/or a percent of population. Allow the rural areas with very few cases to operate as normal. And by lockdown, keep people in those locations.

[semantic]

Dude, I'm just a bean counter. Like many Americans, I was up in the middle of the night, thinking about the future, thinking about the conflicting data, and then, thinking about what you had been saying all along.

At some point - maybe 3am - I finally realized what the hell you were trying to convey, why it was important, and how I could examine the pattern. I got up and started playing around with a couple of different versions, but finally settled on comparing the US to Italy. Not only are they the poster child for a worst case scenario, but I also thought they might have the most accurate/reliable reported mortality data.

To be honest, I was pretty surprised at the nation-nation delta over the time series. I thought we'd be somewhere closer to Italy's growth rate, in terms of doubling rates, etc. As you know, it's been a few days now testing, re-testing, and having you/other people take a look before I decided to come out of the closet.

I know I keep repeating myself, but if anyone wants a copy of the model, just shoot me a PM. Play around, modify, check the data, knock yourself out. I'm the last guy to be wed to results - the more eyeballs the merrier.

If the projections are within some level of accuracy ie existing HCS can handle the impact, what it tells us is that Trump got ahead of this in the nick of time. He should take a couple of laps, and a few bows for his accolades. At the very least, he single-handedly shifted this country's trajectory to controlled borders, domestic production, citizens first, and pro self defense.

[BusterDog]

https://www.reddit.com/r/CoronavirusUS/comments/fn75dx/healthcare_professionals_in_new_york_forced_to/

[9YearLurker]

Meanwhile Cuomo says it could last through the election if that’s how long it takes to bring Trump down.

Okay, I, um, paraphrase.

https://nypost.com/2020/03/22/cuomo-coronavirus-pandemic-could-last-up-to-9-months/

[Black Agnes]

Agree 100%

Which is why the flubro ‘trump’s an idiot, he’s killing the economy for a cold’ posters frustrate me.

I trust Trump with this. (I don’t trust all his minions but he’s got piss poor choices for those just because: ‘muh swamp’)

[wastoute]

Trump recognized this country was on “Flight 93” and wrested the controls of the aircraft. We are gonna leave some paint on the ground but we will make it.