Actually 12755+91540=104295 completed cases.(deaths +recovered)...then 12755/104295 and you get your running death rate vs total completed cases we know about so far or .122 or 12.2 percent.(or did you subtract the Chinese numbers already?) 12.2 percent...hmmm my 11 percent figures have gone upwards.
If you take out Chinese recovered and reported death rates then the numbers are starker... 9500 deaths + 20540 total recovered)=30040 closed cases that we know about then 9500/30040=.314 or 31.4 percent in the rest of the world...Italy is skewing the numbers higher but I haven’t yet decided to figure the numbers without China and Italy. iran I haven’t decided on....I feel like they are putting out higher numbers in a sort of median way...mixing a little fiction with truth which would be very Muslim of them but I’ve kept them in for now.
Let me see if I can subtract out Italy, Iran and China...
Confirmed Dead Survive Mort
World 297,090 12,755 91,540 12.2% -China 81,304 3,259 71,857 4.3% -Italy 53,578 4,825 6,072 44.3% -Iran 20,610 1,556 7,635 16.9% 141,598 3,115 5,976 34.3%
34.3% world wide without CII? Yuck!
I can't easily recover retrospective data to use The Lancet's method of offsetting recoveries and deaths by two weeks. This gives a more accurate final number as it takes into account that it's longer to recover than die.
IOW, that 34.3% is artificially high due to the rapid rise in cases. JHU CSSE data as of 3/21/20 10:43 PDT
The US numbers are horrifying in your statistic
Deaths: 274 Rec: 147
65% death rate. Yikes.
In my state, there is a 100% chance of dying. 2 deaths, 0 recovered.