Posted on 03/20/2020 7:28:07 PM PDT by NRx
New York State’s long-feared surge of coronavirus cases has begun, thrusting the medical system toward a crisis point.
In a startlingly quick ascent, officials reported on Friday that the state was closing in on 8,000 positive tests, about half the cases in the country. The number was 10 times higher than what was reported earlier in the week.
In the Bronx, doctors at Lincoln Medical and Mental Health Center say they have only a few remaining ventilators for patients who need them to breathe. In Brooklyn, doctors at Kings County Hospital Center say they are so low on supplies that they are reusing masks for up to a week, slathering them with hand sanitizer between shifts.
Some of the jump in New York’s cases can be traced to significantly increased testing, which the state began this week. But the escalation, and the response, could offer other states a glimpse of what might be in store if the virus continues to spread. Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo on Friday urged residents to stay indoors and ordered nonessential businesses to keep workers home.
State officials have projected that the number of coronavirus cases in New York will peak in early May. Both the governor and Mayor Bill de Blasio have used wartime metaphors and analogies to paint a grim picture of what to expect. Officials have said the state would need to double its available hospital beds to 100,000 and could be short as many as 25,000 ventilators.
As it prepares for the worst-case projections, the state is asking retired health care workers to volunteer to help. The city is considering trying to turn the Jacob K. Javits Convention Center in Manhattan into a makeshift hospital.
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
On the downside, she says they are out of much of their PPE. Her and another nurse have been sharing a single mask.
We bought some price gouger ones and sent them to her yesterday, but lack of proper gear is a real problem where she is.
Casting a wide net rather than just those with symptoms reduces the mortality rate, but what is the real value of testing everyone, including those without symptoms?
Last night on KARE tv in Twin Cities - NBC affiliate - they ran a story on how 3M company was now manufacturing face masks for use in the corona virus epidemic. It showed the process with the automation and the masks coming off the assembly line. Today our POTUS said that many companies are engaging in helpful manufacturing of necessary goods for patient care. The stupid reporters tried to force him to name the companies, and he hesitated as he said he did not want to announce names without the companies’ approval.
You can’t fix stupid.
Counting Hawaii, still 5-1/2 hours left in the day, and we’re at 57 so far today.
Using the Worldmeter data that uses GMT, there were 57 deaths in the US on Thursday, and 47 deaths in the US on Friday.
Deep State and Leftists want this to be Trump’s Katrina. Effective treatments will be left idle in parking lots.
So how many COVID-19 patients have you been the attending physician for?
I just read your Worldometer analysis of the 17th. We’re now 3 days later and the US is showing 5861 new cases today. So we’re somewhere it the middle of your projection. Closer to S.Korea than to Italy.
S.Korea is the gold standard for testing, case tracking and preventive measures. Italy was late to the ball game as was the U.S.
Many of S.Koreas first cases were concentrated in that cult church. That may account for some of the quick isolation, since I’m pretty sure they locked down all members of that church.
Italy wasn’t so lucky to have their first cases concentrated. Neither was the US as our country was quickly seeded in all 50 states.
But the US does have an advantage in that our population density is much lower than those two countries. And we’ve had extra time to prepare. And we now know about Chorloquine and are using it in at least some patients.
“If ou are not dead in 10 days (likely 7 - 8) you will likely be a recovered patient.”
BS. Chinese woman dead 35 days after hospitalization:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/13/world/asia/coronavirus-death-life.html
Most people consider death rates in the 2% or even less range very significant in real life.
When crazed murderer Stephen Paddock started shooting people at the Route 91 Harvest Music festival there were about 22,000 people present. 99.7% of the attendees survived.
I doubt anyone who was there thought it was no big deal.
If something like that was happening all over the country, I really doubt anyone would say it wasn't a huge problem.
As POTUS said during his first campaign, “What the H do you have to lose?”
Media is intentionally badmouthing the Right To Try philosophy.
in America it is people in certain professions getting tested, not even symptomatic
I broke out the NY numbers. Also check out Washington. Very much so decelerating
Formerly a San Clemente class tanker.
My first job as master was a San Clemente class tanker.
That picture makes it look smaller than it actually is:)
Apples to oranges. The .1% generic flu mortality rates includes an estimate of unreported cases as part of the denominator. In the case of the Wuhan virus, they are dividing the number of deaths by total confirmed cases. They don't add an estimate of total unreported cases.
That study has several different points of concern.
One question raised is adequate training for staff to operate the equipment.
Other patients needing urgent care for other reasons may find no available caregivers.
I have treated a fair amount of CoCid 19. So far no deaths. Just take it easy. It’s all well and we will be ok. It doesn’t look any more scary than what I treat every year. Keep things in perspective.
The real value is that you identify cases and are able to isolate them and do contact tracing isolating many of those they came in contact with.
The more you test, the less you have to resort to blanket city and state wide lock downs.
A wide net, also gives you confidence that your case number isn’t underestimated. Which means your case mortality rate is correct. That’s important to know, because it drives decisions such as whether to treat this like seasonal flu or to aggressively lock down cities.
The hospitalization rate and length of stay and ICU rates are also important as indicators of whether your healthcare system will be overwhelmed, which also drives those same decisions.
About Dr Fauci...(MY TAKE)
He is a scientist.
Scientists deal with ‘facts’ and tend to not over simplify things.
Yes, it does appear that when PDJT is acting positive he comes around on the ‘negative side’.
He does not appear to be a ‘people person’(IMNSHO) and his ‘normal’ job is not to give speculation.
Remember the other day when PDJT STARTED his talk with we are going to try a 15 day period and one of the questions got around to having him (PDJT) ‘admit’ maybe August after saying month etc etc. WHEN the IDJITS started ‘hammering’ him etal on the ‘NEW AUG’ date, Fauci grabbed the mike and straightened the situation out....
I can count the times I have watched CNN on both hands and I can count the times I have watched it on PURPOSE with both my hands in my pocket and shoes on.
I can see why. After today’s (FRI) that butthead ‘anchor’ back in the studio started with slams and built the crescendo up, then brought on people who DIRECTLY tried to shoot down everything that the team said.
I can see where if the people whose only news outlet is CNN and the rest of the ‘herd’ how they would panic.
I really can’t ‘account’ all the ‘doom and gloomers’ on this site. I admit I am too ‘casual’ about the subject but I do monitor my own activities etc.
Our glorious gov said all over 65 should stay home.
I have work to do. IMPORTANT work.
So I got a ‘fake ID’ saying I am 63, and even though I dropped 17, I can pull it off....I have people asking me whose truck I am driving with the VN tags...(HA HA)
The hospitals would not let them on the grounds.
“This thing is not a hoax or left-wing conspiracy and it is not checking political affiliations before killing people. I am growing tired of the asinine commentary that seems to be bubbling up on serious discussion threads.”
Folks that are nowhere near NYC are taking pleasure in it and this after taking pleasure in the idea that it was “like the flu.”
As you read, people still keep regurgitating this stupidity. They refuse to let go. It’s like the polar opposite of TDS.
Sad.
There’s now 5,000 cases in NYC. It’s exploding.
Just out of curiosity. Ever heard of a bell shape curve. On example is a good story but not a trend. It’s ok to let the professionals speak for what’s going on.
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