“Okay. But here in Washington state we were testing 1000 per day with about 100 positive.
For the last couple days we have been testing 2500 per day with about 100 positive.
To me that indicates that percentage of positive cases is now falling. As of yesterday we had 904 positive and 11,582 negative.”
I’ve found these numbers fascinating over the last couple days. The increased testing numbers surely reflects the increased availability of testing. What strikes me most is the number of negative tests (92%). Not to minimize the extent of the COVID spread or the seriousness of the disease in some patients, but most of what people have is not COVID but colds/flu/other seasonal viruses. That I find somewhat reassuring.
The low numbers testing positive may mean that the disease has not spread far enough throughout the WA population—yet.
Remember, this nasty virus has been doubling individuals infected every three days.
At that rate it will take over a month to work its will on WA state.
Here in Washington state we had a lot of testing available earlier than other states so we have tested a lot. The University of Washington Research Lab developed a test. They had a drive-thru test available for staff a couple of weeks ago. They now have drive-thru testing for staff, students and UW Medical patients.
Since the University of Washington has a huge student body and probably a third of Seattle residents use UW Physicians as their primary doctor there are a lot of people who can drive through.
There are several sites with RVs set up for quarantine as well as an older motel which was purchased from the county.
Of course, since our goofy gov Inslee has to copy everything that California’s goofy gov Newsom does, we have restaurants, bars, ski slopes, you name it, shut down.
There have been huge runs on TP and food as there has been everywhere and a lot of people are stocked up and prepared to shelter in place for a few weeks.
Our DOH gives a daily update at about 3:45 each day so one knows the negatives and whether they are decreasing or not. I think, although we increased testing recently from 1,000 to 2,500 per day that the goal is to get to 4,000 tests per day.
Good analysis.
Would think if people woth less of the symptoms now are getting tested that it might go down because of that too.
At any rate looked like needed and welcomed good news by your analysis.