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To: Kazan
No, it isn't obvious to me why nor is it to a rational person.

Coronavirus has only been around for 2.5 months and has killed 6500.

It's because of the case fatality rate, the rate of severe cases requiring hospitalization and ICU, and length of time it takes to recover.

If it's allowed to spread, it will overwhelm our hospitals. And then doctors will have to choose who gets treatment and who doesn't. That's already happened in China, Iran and Italy.

It spreads at least as easily as the flu, but there is no herd immunity to it, so it spreads very rapidly. And 15-20% of known cases require hospitalization.

If it infects a third of our population, that's 100 million cases. And that means 15 million hospitalizations. Way more than our capacity.

Looking at total deaths is misleading because this virus hasn't been around that long.

65 posted on 03/15/2020 5:00:14 PM PDT by DannyTN
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To: DannyTN
No, the virus has been known to exist for four months, since November 17th. It is very possible the virus reached this country long before the travel ban was implemented in February. In fact, according former Fox News reporter Adam Housley top ranking officials in both parties believe the virus has swept through parts of the country. We could be at the very end of the cycle.

It will almost certainly diminish by summer. There likely be a vaccine by fall.

There is NO chance 22,000 Americans die to to Corona. It's unlikely 12,000 will.

Corona is very little threat to any health person under 60.

In Italy, the average age of death of a Corona victim is 81. They have a much older population there.

The confirmed to case-to-death rate is a mere 0.8 in South Korea. And, as is always the case, there are far more actual cases than confirmed cases. Dr. Mehmet Oz estimates 80% of those that get the virus don't even know they had it.

Nothing justifies the draconian measures being taken that are harming the economy.

76 posted on 03/15/2020 8:36:46 PM PDT by Kazan
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