While I agree that projecting the numbers out may be a guessing game in this dynamic situation and seem counter productive to an extent, we can be certain that these numbers are being run by CDC as they anticipate case load and further actions that may prove necessary.
These actions may include school and public event closures and other things.
Additionally, there’s no way the US wants our case load to exceed China’s. Absolutely no way!
From an economic and geo-political perspective, it will be horrible optics if we, with only 1/5th of China’s population, exceed China’s case numbers .
At some point, when we start getting high numbers, I’d expect the CDC to change the testing criteria just as China did to artificially keep the numbers low.
So I’m looking to see the numbers in anticipation of further government actions in place and when CDC begins to change testing criteria, which is already seemingly restricted.
Our case load wont exceed China. They are 4x larger than us. They also had thousands in Wuhan who were not tested.
Its an economic issue, not a you are gonna die issue.
Ive been saying that since January. And today thats slapping us in the face.