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To: DEPcom

Why do you think the data from China inflates the mortality rate? Reports from in side Wuhan assert that the death rate is much higher than what has been reported from there.

You are right to trust the S. Korea numbers most, but why do you think the US numbers will be better? And how are you allocating the unresolved cases? We cannot assume they will all survive and that will only bring that 0.7% rate up.

I also don’t grasp the idea that this only kills elderly/compromised people somehow makes it more acceptable.


1,482 posted on 03/09/2020 4:03:31 PM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant.)
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To: calenel

“Why do you think the data from China inflates the mortality rate?”

I do think the death rate is higher in Wuhan maybe 50K to 100K. They never had control of the virus before it infected everybody in Wuhan. The lock down is the only thing that save the China That is why I discount China data, they can not be trusted.

I am looking at the fact they tested over 150000 people for the virus. My numbers were base off the number of confirm cases and death count. That will change but at the time of the writing, it calculated to 0.7% not the 3.5% WHO is stated. Yes the unresolved cases could turn to a death, but they could find more people who test positive.

I do not see it jumping to the 3.5% that WHO stated. South Korea has a good heath care system and a good hand on the issue.

I have live Korea before, and talk to some friends who have just return from Korea. South Korea has advance in the last 10 years, but they are not there yet. They still have open sewer systems and old-style squatty potties. The virus is transmitted via Feca material. The public squatty potties are not very clean, much like the ones I experience in the Middle East (maybe the reason of the crazy outbreak in Iran).

The US is spread out compare to South Korea. A lot of the Koreans live in dense areas with apartment blocks. They do have single family house dotted in the countryside but that is mostly small farm areas. The densely populated cites will cause the spread to be quicker compare to the US. We do have high populated cities, but they are little bit cleaner. The places we need to worry about is the homeless population on the west coast. Those areas remind me of third world countries.

It is dangerous to anybody with heath issues no matter what age they are. There are some Elderly people with no issues that it will not be affected. The stronger you immune system is the less if affects you.


1,524 posted on 03/09/2020 4:30:15 PM PDT by DEPcom
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