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To: bitt
From my doctor friend, who was an emergency room physician - a warning.

One of the most intelligent people I've ever met, so I listen - particularly about medial things...

[Only edited to keep personal things out...]

"We’re entering the exponential phase (there’s a ton of good epidemiology on Twitter) of this disease. You know one thing about me - I’m a skeptic. So what I’m about to suggest is not born out of panic, but out of math and med and minding.

Get ready to stay indoors for a prolonged period. The non-dictatorial part of the world won’t do nearly as well as China did. Their draconian measures were amazingly effective, but not reproducible. (It will be interesting to see what happens as they go back to opening factories, but I digress.)

We’ve bought a freezer to add extra storage here in [edited location]. I’m stockpiled, and not going out anymore - at all. Even though we have yet to document a case, it’s floating around here, for sure. Being such an international city, it’s inevitable.

(Government likely has mismanaged kits and is suppressing actual cases. The corruption/dishonesty that pervades government = zero confidence in public statements.)

And if I get this disease, I’ll die. My auto-immune system will blow it up.

Odds are that you will too, being over 60. So my dear friend, and I write this only out of caring for you, not to imply a thing about [edited]

Prepare.

It costs nothing, since it’s all stuff you’d eat/use anyway. If I’m wrong (along with the epidemiologists), no big deal. But if I’m right, there will be a panic stage where the shelves are bare, potentially followed by a breakdown of supply chains, period. So they won’t be restocked, at least not nearly as efficiently as things work now.


324 posted on 03/07/2020 1:53:47 PM PST by aMorePerfectUnion
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To: aMorePerfectUnion

Bttt


328 posted on 03/07/2020 2:19:54 PM PST by Guenevere (Press On!)
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To: aMorePerfectUnion

It costs nothing, since it’s all stuff you’d eat/use anyway. If I’m wrong (along with the epidemiologists), no big deal. But if I’m right, there will be a panic stage where the shelves are bare, potentially followed by a breakdown of supply chains, period. So they won’t be restocked, at least not nearly as efficiently as things work now.

***********

And if it gets that bad, it’d be foolish to assume a stable electric grid. So, stocking up on frozen and refrigerated would be problematic.


331 posted on 03/07/2020 2:44:58 PM PST by Grimmy (equivocation is but the first step along the road to capitulation)
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To: aMorePerfectUnion
From my doctor friend, who was an emergency room physician - a warning.

POTUS has been very clear in telling us not to overreact to this virus.

Just saying.

342 posted on 03/07/2020 3:50:09 PM PST by venizelos
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