Have any of you heard about this? This past October, our world health leaders met, simulated, and worked on how to work thru a world wide Pandemic from a novel Corona Virus. Organized by JH, Gates Foundation, and WHO. This is one of many videos you can find at their website linked below. ‘Event 201. World Pandemic Exercise’.
The first recap video
http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/
http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/videos.html
Their response :
“ Statement about nCoV and our pandemic exercise
In October 2019, the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security hosted a pandemic tabletop exercise called Event 201 with partners, the World Economic Forum and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. Recently, the Center for Health Security has received questions about whether that pandemic exercise predicted the current novel coronavirus outbreak in China. To be clear, the Center for Health Security and partners did not make a prediction during our tabletop exercise. For the scenario, we modeled a fictional coronavirus pandemic, but we explicitly stated that it was not a prediction. Instead, the exercise served to highlight preparedness and response challenges that would likely arise in a very severe pandemic. We are not now predicting that the nCoV-2019 outbreak will kill 65 million people. Although our tabletop exercise included a mock novel coronavirus, the inputs we used for modeling the potential impact of that fictional virus are not similar to nCoV-2019.”
Table top exercises happen all the time.
We did three or four a year. Stuff like fires, active shooters, mass casualty events are pretty common.
Pandemic stuff at a larger level are more likely to happen at the CDC/National Level.
Our pandemic plan was to issue shovels. (Not really)
Table top exercises happen all the time.
We did three or four a year. Stuff like fires, active shooters, mass casualty events are pretty common.
Pandemic stuff at a larger level are more likely to happen at the CDC/National Level.
Our pandemic plan was to issue shovels. (Not really)
Oddly convenient .
I’m not sure if their models are realistic.
We were all going to die during the 2009 novel H1n1. So, we may see numbers like the actual numbers below, maybe even twice or three times, but I just don’t see anywhere near 65 million deaths unless the virus jumps species. Not with as many virologists working on solutions as we do right now.
“Estimates of pandemic influenza mortality ranged from 0.03% of the world’s population during the 1968 pandemic to 1–3% of the world’s population during the 1918 pandemic.
It was estimated that 0.001–0.007% of the world’s population died of respiratory complications associated with 2009 H1N1 virus infection during the first 12 months the virus circulated (or 0.001–0.011% when cardiovascular deaths were included).
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/spotlights/pandemic-global-estimates.htm
By the World Health Organization’s official tally, the flu pandemic of 2009-10 killed 18,449 people around the world. Those are deaths of people who had laboratory-confirmed cases of the so-called swine flu.
But a fresh analysis says the real toll was 10 times higher — up to 203,000 deaths. And maybe it was twice that, if you count people who died of things like heart attacks precipitated by the flu.