[palmer]

This thread (and others) has great info. It also has complete speculation and drivel like 10% (not referring to 1919 but coronavirus). It's no different from any thread here except there's a justified skepticism with Chinese numbers.

Even at 2% mortality the virus is very serious. The rate in Italy is 1% but it's still very early in that outbreak.

[BobL]

“This thread (and others) has great info. It also has complete speculation and drivel like 10%”

Of course the fatality rate can’t include the sick, only the dead or the recovered. And if you go to the BNO site right now, you’ll see 217 as “Recovered” and 27 dead, outside of China. So the 10% fatality rate seems about right...albeit with a small number of cases, so far.

https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/02/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/

And keep in mind that most of the recovered are still receiving decent or better medical care. What if that doesn’t continue (which it won’t, simply due to our drug supply now being cut off from China)? My guess is that 10% will wind up being on the low end.