Posted on 02/11/2020 5:11:45 PM PST by Vermont Lt
U.S. Lacks Resources to Combat Rapidly Spreading Coronavirus
Feb. 12, 2020, 12:51 PM
The U.S. health-care system lacks the capacity to handle the coronavirus if the rapidly spreading outbreak can’t be contained, former CDC and FDA officials told a Senate panel.
“Slowing down the spread is important because if we have a lot of cases all at once, we simply don’t have the surge capacity to manage that in our health-care environment,” Julie Gerberding, executive vice president and chief patient officer at Merck & Co. said Wednesday at a Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee roundtable. Gerberding was the director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention during the SARS... rest is behind paywall.
If anyone comes across a link to this morning’s Senate roundtable, please post it.
They had a good 5-6 week jump on us. Just announced that the Ruskies are watching 20K in their country for the virus.
Reports that the real deaths and infections in China now are 50K and 1.5M respectively. Don’t kid yourself.
The Department of Defense approved 11 'installation sites' near major airports around the US
They will be used if and when hospitals are unable to accommodate passengers in their own quarantine sites
The airports are located in Hawaii, Illinois, Texas , California , Georgia, New York, Washington state, Washington DC, New Jersey and Michigan
Americans returning from the coronavirus outbreak epicenter in Wuhan, China, are required to spend 14 days under quarantine
Those returning from China who did not visit Wuhan are subject to 14 days of self-isolation in their homes
Foreign nationals who have traveled to China in the last 14 days are not allowed into the US
Excerpted...more at link including photos and maps
Abstract The novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) is a recently emerged human pathogen that has spread widely since January 2020.
Initially, the basic reproductive number, R0, was estimated to be 2.2 to 2.7. Here we provide a new estimate of this quantity.
We collected extensive individual case reports and estimated key epidemiology parameters, including the incubation period.
Integrating these estimates and high-resolution real-time human travel and infection data with mathematical models, we estimated that the number of infected individuals during early epidemic double every 2.4 days, and the R0 value is likely to be between 4.7 and 6.6.
We further show that quarantine and contact tracing of symptomatic individuals alone may not be effective and early, strong control measures are needed to stop transmission of the virus.
Excerpted
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.07.20021154v1
I heard on the news this morning that the virus will have run its course by this April.
Prayers up for this little one. I hope it doesn't turn out they sent her back 'mistakenly' the same as the other patient from UCSD. I think they just don't have any control over this. But it isn't a good idea to be sending her to Rady's to possibly expose other children who's immune system is compromised.
“I heard on the news this morning that the virus will have run its course by this April.”
But I also read that each corona virus is (of course) different, and that there is one which infects cats that is pretty much not affected by sunlight. So who knows until we get to the Spring. The Spanish flu of 100 years ago wasn’t so affected - but this is no an influenza virus, it is different. Oh, and this particular virus will, like all viruses, mutate at one or more points in the future, and whether those mutations make it more or less virulent, more or less communicable, more or less vulnerable to UV rays and warmer temps - well, that we’ll just have to wait and find out...it isn’t like we have much of a choice in the matter.
Again, hopefully the coming of Spring does the trick, and all of the medical authorities will have learned a lot from the experience of the lack 2-3 months. Maybe we’ll even have a vaccine in a year or so (though that’s no guarantee, there is STILL no AIDS vaccine despite billions having been poured into that research over the last 20 or so years).
How could y’all have possibly missed this cure?
https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-cow-dung-cure-for-coronavirus-11581378967
When I took physiology in college our class was told that VIRUSES are so nasty that scientists could WATCH them mutate right before their eyes...in the microscope.
Those who eat out everyday and have never had anything more than leftover fried rice in their fridge will be hard pressed to coming close to a month’s food prep. They’ll be calling for delivery until the last delivery man calls it quits.
Uhhh, surrrrreeee...
2/12/20
“Patient jumps from hospital window to escape Coronavirus quarantine in Russia”
“2 Russians Flee Coronavirus Quarantine, In Dismay At Hospitals”
“Climbing Out Windows, Breaking Door Locks: 3 People Reportedly Escape Coronavirus Quarantines in Russia”
https://time.com/5782790/3-people-escape-coronavirus-quarantine-russia/
No country is ready for an epidemic of any form.
If Merck and their buddy, Perry, hadn’t been pushing HPV in schools, they could have put some time into basic medical supplies.
“...Just announced that the Ruskies are watching 20K in their country for the virus.”
See #132.
Self quarantined means hospitals don’t have the room or the personnel to deal with them.
Even a case of canned soup is better than nothing.
Yup
FedEx:
Ocean Freight Industry Environment (as of Feb. 12, 2020)
The coronavirus situation in China and its impact on the global ocean freight industry continues to evolve. There are ongoing impacts to manufacturing in the local regions in China, as well as ongoing extensions of the Chinese New Year holiday. Some Chinese technology companies have extended their work-from-home policies for at least another week. Many factories are limited in their production capability due to a shortage of manpower. This manpower shortage may also impact local trucking.
...
If demand far outpaces capacity supply in March, short-term spot rates could increase to levels several hundred dollars higher than the current long-term fixed rates. U.S. importers should consider preparing for possible ocean rate increases in early March, as consignees vie for constrained container slots.
....
If the coronavirus outbreak lingers into March, ocean carriers could declare Force Majeure in order to justify higher rates across the board, although there is no indication of this yet. The FedEx Logistics Ocean teams are communicating with our ocean carrier partners about any possible alternative contingency routings that may be available in order to accommodate the likely spike in demand in March.
Coronavirus: two of the eleven hospitalized patients in France are cured
It is the first cure for patients on French soil. No new cases have been detected so far, according to the health ministry.
Le Monde avec AFP Posted today at 8:02 pm, updated at 8:26 pm
Two of the eleven people hospitalized in France after being contaminated by the new coronavirus are “cured” and have left the hospital, the ministry of health announced on Wednesday 12 February.
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