[MarMema]

Somewhere on fr I posted a standard Ro of 2.6 graph this morning. Things are gonna really explode soon.

[BusterDog]

Terrifying. Here's a chart estimating and comparing daily *reported cases of SARS, Ebola, and #coronavirus...
Not looking good https://t.co/rRWUXbLmzb pic.twitter.com/J9Wm1WCQNO— Mike Co (@burningw0rds) January 26, 2020

Graph source = WHO

[grey_whiskers]

IIRC The Lancet was quoting 2.5, and included 95% confidence interval bars on it, so more than just a wild-assed guess...even if "garbage in, garbage out."