Yes we need to watch. One thing I would point out is our numbers on flu are in at least a partially immunized group with some natural immunity as well due to prior flu infections. It is difficult to compare but probably the best comparison we have. I remember the first year of H1N1. Not fun but not society ending calamity either. My personal guess is this will turn out to be something like that. Either way we will know soon and panic will not help.