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To: palmer

You are right on accd. to zH here:
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/wuhan-nurse-fears-90000-infected-emotional-plea-help

A translation from a nurse on the 24th of Jan claims that some 90,000 cases of pneumonia are now active in China. Also, the claim is that the virus has mutated and it is now in the second generation. An additional claim is now that 1 person is likely to infect 14 others this may be due to the 5-9 day period before symptoms are such that most people seek help.even longer in some people.
...............
Here’s a clip from the ZH link”

“A viral video, reposted on Twitter 48 hours ago, has more than 800k views and reveals an urgent message from a Wuhan nurse, who claims more than 90,000 people in China have been infected with the fast-spreading coronavirus.

An unverified translation of the nurse, posted by @purplelovehime, has been retweeted more than 13.7k times since Saturday, states: “I am Jin Wei. I am currently inside the Wuhan outbreak region, Han Hou area. I would like to describe the condition inside the Hubei province, as well as the outbreak situation in the entire China. Currently, there are already 90,000 cases of pneumonia contraction.”

“What is the rate of contraction? If one person contracted this disease and is not properly quarantined and treated, this I individual will infect 14 people that came in contact with him. That is a significant multiplier. During the spring festival, in our culture, families like to get together, dine together. But this is unlike any other years. I hope that people can stay home, do not gather, and do not visit families. There is a spring festival every year. If everyone can stay safe, you can always get together later,” the unverified translation of the nurse said.

The translation went on to say that medical supplies from bio suits, medical masks, goggles, and gloves “are in great shortages.”


962 posted on 01/26/2020 1:18:44 PM PST by rodguy911
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To: rodguy911
90k pneumonia cases is pretty mild for China from ordinary flu. We don't know the numbers from which the pneumonia cases came. From other ordinary flu? Not a big deal. From a large number of coronavirus cases? That's in between, need more data, might be serious or not. Mostly from a modest number of coronavirus? Then that's serious.

A country with China's population should have at least 180,000 extra fatalities in the winter from flu and respiratory ailments. The number for the US with our much better health care is 60,000 extra fatalities in winter, mainly from flu, back in 2006 when the US population was 300,000,000. 90k extra in a bad flu year.

963 posted on 01/26/2020 1:58:54 PM PST by palmer (Democracy Dies Six Ways to Sunday)
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