Hopefully I’ll have time to read this whole thing tomorrow. But in the mean time I have a question: Does anyone know the duration of this illness?
I know the incubation period is supposed to be around 14 days. But after symptoms start, how long does it take for the patient to either die or recover?
Without that number, it’s hard to calculate an accurate mortality rate. We don’t know how many of the currently infected will survive.
Individuals can have symptoms for up to 10 days (this is following the incubation period), IIRC from the Lancet article. So it isn’t a “drop-dead-the-same-day” thing like the Spanish flu.