[steve86]

Individuals can have symptoms for up to 10 days (this is following the incubation period), IIRC from the Lancet article. So it isn’t a “drop-dead-the-same-day” thing like the Spanish flu.

[steve86]

But remember the “Lancet” patients were mid-December. The coronavirus could have mutated since then and changed its virulence and other factors relating to the infection.

[Ellendra]

Individuals can have symptoms for up to 10 days (this is following the incubation period), IIRC from the Lancet article.

Thank you.

"Up to 10 days". Would the average probably be around 5 days? Or more like 7?

And am I correct in thinking that taking the average duration, looking at the number of people who were infected that many days ago, and comparing it to the current death toll, would give a more accurate idea of the mortality rate than using the most recent number of people infected? The total number infected includes people who are going to die from it but haven't gotten there yet. It seems like it would be more accurate to look at the number of cases that have run their course. Maybe I'm wrong, in which case I hope there's someone here with more experience in epidemiology who can correct my method.

I tried finding the number of confirmed recoveries, but A: I was told that the number was misleading, and B: the number was too terrifying. I'm hoping it was wrong.