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To: norsky
On top of that, the mortality rate is 15% (initial estimates had it at 2-3%)!

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Whoooooa there big fella. The mortality rate is 15% (initial estimates had it at 2-3%) of Chinese people admitted to that particular hospital in China.

Think about all the people possibly sitting at home, waiting out their illness. That would drive the denominator down a bit.

Also, maybe the hospital is known specifically for addressing patients that are critically ill --thus biasing the sample population.

What if it's a crappy hospital with crappy practitioners --more bias.

41 of 59 patients did not have coronavirus by RT-PCR, could be the incubation period, but RT-PCR should be ble to detect very low titers of virus. So 69% of pneumonia patients had coronavirus, while 31% did not.

Again, maybe we should panic, but maybe not. I always considered The LANCET the most politically-charged left leaning "top-tier" medical journal, even beyond JAMA and NEJM. It always seemed to provide data showing the superiority/positives of the British government-run health system. I have not however, looked at it for 10 years.

1,152 posted on 01/27/2020 10:30:15 AM PST by smileyface (I LOVE POTUS DONALD J. TRUMP!)
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To: smileyface

Lies
Damn lies
Statistics for liberals


1,161 posted on 01/27/2020 11:16:11 AM PST by Cletus.D.Yokel (The Republican Party: Freeing Americans since 1865.)
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To: smileyface

oopsie, the denominator would be larger, the % would go down.


1,163 posted on 01/27/2020 11:29:00 AM PST by smileyface (I LOVE POTUS DONALD J. TRUMP!)
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To: smileyface; norsky

I looked at the Lancet article. Medicalese is hard to read but basically a study of 41 patients, as you said at one hospital, many had unerlying health issues.

Until non-Chinese sources, based on larger patient pool, have some info, it remains “wait and see” to me.


1,170 posted on 01/27/2020 11:46:56 AM PST by little jeremiah (Courage is not simply one of the virtues, but the form of every virtue at the testing point.)
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To: smileyface

Again, maybe we should panic, but maybe not. I always considered The LANCET the most politically-charged left leaning “top-tier” medical journal, even beyond JAMA and NEJM. It always seemed to provide data showing the superiority/positives of the British government-run health system. I have not however, looked at it for 10 years.

Thanks, I appreciate that info.
Lefties do that kind of stuff.
I think it is overblown too.
Common sense would to use same precautions as normal for flu.


1,177 posted on 01/27/2020 12:16:29 PM PST by norsky
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