[DesertRhino]

“To wit, it lacks a fundamental conclusion and call to action”

You’re seeing his article incorrectly. The purpose of the article wasn’t a call to action. It was telling preppers that contrary to what they are told, they aren’t crazy for prepping. That it is more even more rational for an American to prep and have an AR-15, than it is to buy flood insurance in a flood zone.

And it did have a fundamental conclusion. That in an average American lifetime, there is at least about a 36% chance of serious violence, insurrection, slavery, massive civil disorder, etc, which would call for one being prepared with supplies and rifles.

It’s a very simple paper, and has some very good reasoning and backs up his premise and conclusion well.

[Jamestown1630]

I want an AR15. The one time I shot a bunch of handguns, they scared me and I wondered about long guns. My husband’s shotgun would knock me over, so:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jafkVM-jnbE

[atomic_dog]

I have often considered that the mathematical case for prepping could be proven by EVPI (Expected Value of Perfect Information) the equation for which is below:

It is often used in investing as a benchmark used to reject costly proposals. IMO the EMV of having a weapon when SHTF is infinite.