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To: neverevergiveup

Yes, and I should have been clearer.

Some fields of science the human race has somewhat “tamed”. If America can put a man on the moon and the Japanese can put a sun sail spaceship on an asteroid and return a rock to Earth, then the inter-planetary travel problem of physics is pretty solid.

And I assume human psychology is a science that is steadily getting there, but it’s still quite in the wilderness, as I think Jordan Peterson would admit.

But sciences like climatatology, archeology, and astronomy are quite different because the number of variables required to accurately predict is so huge and.or the reliability/accuracy of instruments and measurements may not be adequate to predict at the granularity we want.

Trust in science is based on a proven ability to predict things. Climate science hasn’t yet earned that trust. In fact, it may never in our lifetimes because of the butterfly effect. When it flaps its wings, it may start a chain of events that leads to a tropical storm forming.

OK, I’ve enjoyed ranting on this : - ) I kick a out of writing stuff that helps me straighten out my own muddled brain. And other FReepers get to critique and make sure I don’t stray too far from the unreasonable or sane.


68 posted on 02/09/2019 1:45:52 PM PST by poconopundit
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To: poconopundit
I agree with you entirely that some scientific fields are more grounded in experimental data and validation than others. Climatology is based on a lot of supposition. The accuracy of ice core data cannot be directly tested, unless one can go back in time. The accuracy of future predictions will only be tested when the future predicted arrives. So far, the climatology predictions have not proven very accurate. I also agree that there are a huge number of variables involved as climate determinants, many we probably don't even know about - let alone understand. As such, no computer model that currently exists is likely to be very accurate.
69 posted on 02/09/2019 1:57:50 PM PST by neverevergiveup
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