1 posted on
11/03/2018 5:16:09 PM PDT by
Az Joe
To: Az Joe
I went back to the RCP polls for 2016 and calculated they had an average rat bias of 2.68%.
If you apply the same bias to RCP current polls, you get GOP winning 227 House and 55 Senate.
2 posted on
11/03/2018 5:21:11 PM PDT by
rhinohunter
(Dear Mr. Trump: I'm still not tired of winning)
To: Az Joe
Most polls underpredict conservative voters. Gingrich won the house, Bush beat Kerry, Hillary lost—every one of those underpredicted conservative voters.
I think there was one year that polls underpredicted liberal turnout. Only one though.
3 posted on
11/03/2018 5:22:35 PM PDT by
Cubs Fan
(Its not the New York Times, its the RACIST New York Times. Please call them that, they've earned it.)
To: Az Joe
4 posted on
11/03/2018 5:24:07 PM PDT by
Az Joe
(I AM TRUMP!)
To: Az Joe
6 posted on
11/03/2018 5:25:42 PM PDT by
DarthVader
(Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues of today be decided but by Blood & Iron)
To: Az Joe
We’ll see what happens. If we’re going to go against history and keep the house, then it has a good chance this time cause if its gonna happen , this is the President that is a perfect fit.
To: Az Joe
8 posted on
11/03/2018 5:26:17 PM PDT by
ZULU
(Jeff Sessions should be tried for sedition.)
To: Az Joe
“...Skewed Toward Democrats...”
Wow, there’s a first.
11 posted on
11/03/2018 5:32:56 PM PDT by
Carriage Hill
(A society grows great when old men plant trees, in whose shade they know they will never sit.)
To: Az Joe
The last three elections have taught us that polls are irrelevant. Yet people like talking about them.
12 posted on
11/03/2018 5:33:41 PM PDT by
Baynative
( "If you don't have a seat at the table, you're on the menu.")
To: Az Joe
Funny you posted this today because...
Nate put up an article on 538 today that says “Republicans Need A Systematic Polling Error To Win The House”. We will know on Tuesday.
14 posted on
11/03/2018 5:39:46 PM PDT by
SpeedyInTexas
(Localization, not Globalization)
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