Thanks for a detailed version of your anticipated outcome.
There is a thread with some Carville selected bell weathers that is interesting today;
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3702857/posts?page=29#29
The Democrats’ hopes of taking over the House relying on a Democrat to flip a seat in a district that Trump won by 50 points underscores the difficulty of Democrats flipping the House, to say the least. This point is quite understated.