Posted on 11/03/2018 3:36:19 PM PDT by KC Burke
The Green Pages:
See a great resource on the web for details on elections, office holders etc.
I have used this resource for years.
HOUSE Right now, it says Republicans have 235 in the House with 7 vacancies and the Democrats hold 193. Of course, all 7 vacant seats will be filled by this election.
SENATE Right now, it says Republicans hold 51, Democrats hold 47 but also have in their caucus 2 Independents.
Let's decide what are predictions are for Wednesday of next week and thereafter.
It will be even better than two years ago.
Thanks Speedy.
All of your hard work has sure been useful to us all. We don’t always remember to say thanks.
Larry Schweikart got it right in 2016, and he’ll be even more right this time. Voter fraud is going to be way down this time.
https://twitter.com/LarrySchweikart
“Voter fraud is going to be way down this time.”
Exactly and there are other factors.
My prediction is your prediction.
I'm a loyal Freeper (been here 20+ years) and have no plans to leave but I do find myself going over to other sites more often such as the_Donald on Reddit as there the people are younger, more optimistic and having a lot more fun than many of the folks around here.
As for my prediction, I'm shooting for the moon here: 7-10 senate seat pickup and a strong hold on the House. Wednesday morning we will see a buoyant President Trump holding court with the depressed media on the White House Lawn!
I'm especially vested in the CT governor's race and we have a real chance to elect a pro-business Republican governor that will begin pushing back on the unions here while rolling back taxes. This once beautiful state is almost ruined and may be in worse shape than even Illinois or California. We need change and I think we are going to finally get it!
If this happens, PLUS the retirement of two scotus judges in the next 12 months it will be the happiest year of my life !
I like your pick and agree. I also believe this election will be like 2016 with the “Wilder Effect” in play. There is an undercurrent: I believe many Dems are keeping the cards close to the vest.... and they will vote their pocket books.
LS did have a good analysis and he has provided same this year.
Since we have mentioned him on the thread a couple of time, I will give him a courtesy ping but I know he is pretty busy running his Twitter thread.
Four days out I was within one on the Electoral Vote total in ‘16 so I wanted to get out there on this one as well.
Democrats experience total electoral annihilation.
Excellent!! The more sources you research the better.
I'll send FR $500 if you're close on the Senate (+8 R or better). I'll send FR another $500 if you're close on the House (+1 R or better).
Hard Dems will vote Dem.
Medium Dems will split 70/30 approx.
Hard Repubs will vote Repub.
Medium Repubs will vote 100% Repub.
Black and Hispanic up their republican support by 5-10%(because of Trump)
Do the math.
However, voter turnout is key.
Repubs retain and slightly gain in the House and Senate.
House stays same, Senate R + 5 additional Senators.
Yes, something like that. I’m going with Hannity’s predictions....last night he said we will keep both the House and the Senate by solid majorities. From Sean’s big mouth to God’s ears!
Interesting theory, but no.. I’m an indie, not a GOPer. I too am hoping there’s an uncounted groundswell of conservatives ready to blow the dems out of the water. In some of the statewide races that may very well be the case; i’m Not sure how that would translate to the local races, but we shall see.
I’ve been paying a fair amount of attention to the national elections outlook. As others have said, the polls are all over the place. Furthermore, pollsters as a group tend to play manipulative games with their predictions. Who can say to what extent any individual poll is warped by partisan bias?
More significantly, we just don’t know for certain how many wavering independents across the 50 states will vote for the Republican message. Nor does anyone know for certain just how many “shy Trumpers” are out there with their soft-spoken public demeanors and inner determination to vote for Republicans at all costs. Nor is anyone certain how inclement weather on Tuesday will discourage weak voters from going to the polls in elections where small turnout differences may translate into victory or defeat. These and other imponderables make fools of prognosticators.
Having said that, I’ll strut into the ring and boldly declare that the Grand Old Party will gain five seats in the Senate for a total of 56 seats but lose control of the House of Representatives by seven seats. There, I said it. Feel free to fling rotten vegetables. ^^;
There is a groundswell and I just got a call from one of my insider friends who gave me info that verifies it. Please do not use VA as a trend setter for the country. It was at one time but not anymore.
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