Posted on 11/03/2018 3:36:19 PM PDT by KC Burke
The Green Pages:
See a great resource on the web for details on elections, office holders etc.
I have used this resource for years.
HOUSE Right now, it says Republicans have 235 in the House with 7 vacancies and the Democrats hold 193. Of course, all 7 vacant seats will be filled by this election.
SENATE Right now, it says Republicans hold 51, Democrats hold 47 but also have in their caucus 2 Independents.
Let's decide what are predictions are for Wednesday of next week and thereafter.
Lose around 10 in the House but gain 5-6 in the Senate.
House losses will be Rinos.
GOP Senate 54. House 237.
Noble,
You are not going to ever win the Eternal Optimist award are you?
4 Senate seats for the GOP & a loss of 15 house seats for the GOP. The GOP holds the house by about 7 or 8 seats.
Senate - 58 Republicans
House - we lose 10 seats, keep the majority.
Most realistic prediction on this thread. I am thinking similar. I am impervious to the mainstream media and have been following LS and other analysts who are credible.
I see a few more Dem losses in the Senate in the red states.
My favorite of all time was the mid-term election night when Serpent Head put a waste basket on his head while sitting at the commentators table.
Throw history out of the window.
All the major news sources signed an agreement to use the same source. The only difference in recent elections is which updates they publicize and when their own people will call the race.
I would be happy to see garbage cans on their heads, again.
I also give a lot of credence to LS and his team and the general way they look at things.
The polls are totally spun.
I do have to say that going my my gut sometime is way off. Romney was not a great candidate but I could not believe that Obama won the way he did in 2012.
Barbara Streisand does not move to Canada.
Well the big question is, will she pass her driver’s test?
Hold the House, expand in the Senate
Voter fraud in excess is what happened in 2012.
I agree, Darth. Buck, we can’t revert to history and use historical averages unless the facts on the ground are similar to those that were in place then. The basis for the historical occurrences is that the party in power is complacent and the out party is hungry to get power back. Is that’s what’s going on here? Four months ago I would have said yes, but now it’s not. The polls are over but there’s an overall trend that is in the R favor.. the shift in the CT governorship being the most recent example. Now the rats could run the board on the toss ups- they did that with the Senate in 2008, but that seems unlikely over so many house races. Like many here I follow this stuff obsessively. I study all the straws in the wind and try hard to avoid confirmation bias. My best guess lines up with Dead’s. I think the house range is dems control by 8 to reps control by 8. Again I agree with Dead, and my prediction is hold the house by 5 and gain 5 in the Sentate
I agree. We will hold the House and plus up the Senate.
I laughed. And it’s only funny because it seems likely to happen.
Check my tagline.
My guess is about the same as yours.
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