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This morning Ed Rollins said

NJ has 5 seats & 4 are in trouble

CA has 14 seats & 8 are in trouble

IL has 7 seats & 4 are in trouble

VA has 7 seats & 4 are in trouble

NY has 9 seats & 5 are in trouble

He said these are all in Democrat solid States

So out of 42 seats, 25 are in trouble in Democrat States

6 posted on 11/02/2018 10:22:25 AM PDT by KavMan
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To: KavMan

This needs to be clarified!

state has X seats & Y are in trouble ( Note: Y < X )

Is this just Rat seats in trouble, GOP seats in trouble or both?


9 posted on 11/02/2018 10:29:11 AM PDT by Reily
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To: KavMan

At the risk of splitting hairs here, what is the definition of “trouble”?

Are our people trailing in these races?

Are our people in statistical ties in these races?

Are our people ahead - but barely outside the MOE in these races?

Or a combination of all of the above?


14 posted on 11/02/2018 10:55:17 AM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: LS

Not sure where Rollins is getting his info from - but does any of this sound correct to you?

I guess I’m expecting we’ll lose some seats in those states - but is it as bad as Rollins is indicating?


16 posted on 11/02/2018 11:02:18 AM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: KavMan
Dem states have no bearing on House races. The district-by-district makeup is what is important. Often, Pubs win their House districts by comfortable margins in Dem states, and vice-versa.

There are very few districts that are on a razor's edge. Most lean 5 points or more one direction or the other. So, if Pubs are matching the Dems enthusiasm, and it looks like they are at least doing that and perhaps exceeding it, then most of these that are not on a razor's edge will be close but should return "home" to their partisan makeup.

19 posted on 11/02/2018 11:20:10 AM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: KavMan

He knows the danger of over-co fidence, but is actively serking to demoralize rather than just be cautionary.


24 posted on 11/02/2018 1:01:20 PM PDT by xzins (Retired US Army chaplain. Support our troops by praying for their victory.)
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To: KavMan
This morning Ed Rollins said

That's where you first went wrong.

When ed rollins comes on Lou Dobbs {about 3-4 times a week} I'm outta there {and I love Lou}.

It's not that I don't like ed rollins, it's just he is so old, he lived past dementia, he is now in the post twi-light zone.

His shelf live was over in the 90s.

27 posted on 11/02/2018 5:22:59 PM PDT by USS Alaska (Nuke all mooselimb terrorists, today.)
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