And she was outspent by the same ratio Moore is being outspent.
It was a seven point victory. Pompeo won 61% to 30% in 2016. Pompeo received 167,000 votes and the Dem 81,000. In the special election, Estes won with 63,505 votes to 55,310 for Thompson.
Yes, turnout for a special election is much less than in a regular election and especially in a Presidential year. However, the Dem turnout was much higher proportionately in the special election. Dem voters were more motivated to show up at the polls. Estes received over 100,000 fewer votes compared to Thompson who received 26,000 fewer votes.
I hope Moore wins, but don't underestimate Dem turnout and a possible depressed Rep turnout. How independents will vote and in what numbers will be a factor. IMO the race will be far closer than nine points. I hope I am wrong.
The other Rep senator from Alabama, Shelby, said he was not voting for Moore. I wonder how many of Luther Strange's supporters will stay home.