My feeling is he might have to redraw the map with “Brexit” states because of FL, NV and CO losses driven by Hispanics (and liberal migrants from blue states). We were told by conservatives two elections ago that we’d never be able to win a presidential election again because of continued immigration and amnesty. So if we don’t see dings in our electoral map because of Hispanics 8 years later, it’ll call into question all those conservative warnings, which seemed based on solid ground.
But as a counter to these demographic changes, Trump has the unique chance among Republicans to redraw the map with northern industrial states, where so much of the latest polling and campaigning has focused. That new redrawn victory map is...
All Romney states + IA + OH + NH + PA + MI = 270
This is by far the most exciting, dramatic election night scenario, so I’m hoping for it. It dovetails perfectly with the developing narrative around election turnout, which is that higher latino vote is hurting Trump and higher support from blue-collar whites is helping him.
All Romney states + IA + OH + NH + PA + MI = 270
No Florida Really?