Poll: Clinton beating Trump by 5 in Arizona

politico.com ^ | October 19, 2016 7:20 AM EDT | By NOLAN D. MCCASKILL

[GrandJediMasterYoda]

Poll: Clinton beating Trump by 5 in Arizona

Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 5 percentage points in Arizona, according to an Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News poll released Wednesday. Clinton tops Trump in Arizona, 39 percent to 34 percent. Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson garners 6 percent support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein registers at 1 percent. Twenty-one percent, however, are undecided. Story Continued Below Arizona has voted for the Republican candidate for president in 15 of the last 16 presidential elections, yet Clinton's campaign is making a play for the state. Clinton has deployed some of her top surrogates in the state, including Bernie Sanders; her daughter, Chelsea Clinton; and first lady Michelle Obama, who will stump there Thursday.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/poll-arizona-clinton-beating-trump-229972#ixzz4NfygfAVh Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook

[GrandJediMasterYoda]

I couldn't believe this, are the people in this state smoking crack? Do they realize they are on the border with Mexico and that there is this thing called "drug gangs" every bit as vicious and blood thirsty as ISIS if not more so? I would *think* - if I wasn't living in the Twilight Zone - considering Arizonas situation, that Trump would be ahead by 100 points, I can't believe this.

[goodnesswins]

What are poll internals?

[johncocktoasten]

IIRC this is the poll that used a D +34 sample in a state where Republicans have a 15% registration advantage.

[proxy_user]

Respondent: “I would never vote for that evil racist Donald Trump, no sir!”

Pollster: “Tthanks for your response!”

[digger48]

21% “undecided”?

WTF?

[LongWayHome]

I suspect the state will break for Trump with 21% undecided, but you can thank the Mormons In AZ along with the Mormons in UT for these issues.

[bobsunshine]

This is a skewed poll. Per The Conservative Treehouse who examined the internals:

"Yes, that’s correct. As unbelievable as it might sound, they used a D+34 Sample. ◾Republicans represented 24% of those polled. ◾Democrats represented 58% of those polled. ◾Independents represented 19% of those polled. In order to get the poll to show Hillary Clinton with a 5 point lead, they needed to survey more than twice as many Democrats as Republicans"

https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/10/19/about-that-pro-clinton-arizona-polling-narrative/

[Regulator]

Bunk.

Arizona will be solid for Trump.

Tucson...may be tight but.

This is from Politico. That’s all you need to know.

[AU72]

Anything from Politico is political porn.

[usafa92]

Where have you been? This poll was debunked 2 days ago as a D+34 sample.

[SpaceBar]

The pollsters probably call numbers and if the callee answers with “Si?”, the questions start. Otherwise it’s ‘click’.

[Paladin2]

Well, if Juan is going down, I’m good with this.

[Paladin2]

What is the rough Mormon pop in AZ as a %?

[Lurkinanloomin]

I would say complete BS, but this is the state that elects Flake and McCain as Senators....

[snarkybob]

That is total BS.
Trump is going to win in a 50 state sweep with 100%
of the vote.
Anybody who says otherwise is a concern troll and probably a commie. LoL.

[ClearCase_guy]

Clinton beating Trump by 5

Well, the polls don't close til 8

[Red in Blue PA]

Why not simply do polls with D+99 like North Korea and call it a day?

[LongWayHome]

Not large...close to 10% I think.

[Yo-Yo]

Here are the poll internals: http://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/10/19/arizona-republic-morrison-cronkite-news-poll/92390100/

R=23.6% D=57.0% i=19/4%

Arizona is 57% Democrat?

[WMarshal]

I live in Arizona and I can call this poll bullshit!