Maybe I’m just fooling myself, but this is what I see over the past two weeks:
Trump did well in the first debate and beat Hillary at least by a little.
Pence blew Kaine away in the VP debate.
Trump has ramped up his ad campaign very effectively.
Hillary screeched at people demanding to know why she isn’t 50 points ahead.
Trump has actively campaigned in front of big crowds.
Hillary has half-heartedly campaigned in front of small crowds.
And the polls show Hillary taking off like a rocket.
I’m gonna call BS on all polls from now until the end of this thing.
For Hillary to skyrocket I’d expect she would be making a big push for the gibmedat vote. Forgive all the student loans and freebies all around. Really not hearing too much of that from her.
Those polls may well be reflecting the expectations of vote manipulation rather than just respondents’ answers to the pollster.
Yeah, people did that in 2012 too....didn't work out quite so well.
Dismissing polls is foolish. Even if they are wrong it is better to operate as if our candidate is the underdog.
Even if losing, Trump is within striking distance. If he turns in a couple solid debate performances it could change the entire dynamics of the race. Right near the end of a campaign there is sometimes a surge of movement one way or the other - a couple debate wins could push a lot of support to Trump.