Self driving cars only need to be better than people, they don’t have to be perfect. More importantly they only have to be better than AMERICANS, some of the least trained least competent drivers in the civilized world.
There’s basically ZERO unknown unknowns. Driving is simply object identification. And you don’t really even need to identify most object, just identify how their movement could impact your intended movement. That’s it. We like to pretend it’s the horribly complicated thing, but let’s face it, 14 year old kids drive, not well, but they do.
There is no other reason block protection hasn’t been fully implemented yet. The unions are fighting it, and they’re fighting it in the most effective place: spending. Block protection is an expensive program, and very man hour intensive. By keeping the spending low, and the number of people on the job low, they keep the project from being completed, thus keeping their members in jobs. The system works, and the unions know it, so they fight it.
Automatic driving is being implemented RIGHT NOW. It’s not a “rosy timeline” it’s bothering to pay attention to current events. Google has put MILLION of self driven miles on the books. Dozens of companies are working on various solutions. This article is about a company that makes VIDEO CARDS entering the market. The fact that so many companies see a clear revenue opportunity here is proof that this is happening NOW.
That polling data actually supports me. It shows that 20% of the market is ready to buy a self driving car the minute one hits the market. Desktop PCs didn’t have anywhere near that level of buy in in 1980 and look how that progressed in the following 10 years.
You’re not keeping it real, you’re failing to learn from history. Look at how desktop PCs progressed. Cellphones. Smartphones. VCRs. DVDs. Streaming video. From introduction to the market place to having changed a basic element of society happens very quickly.
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The best any driver-less car will ever do is imitate the least competent drivers that are already clogging up our roads.
They are a ‘solution’ to a non-existent problem, and will constitute an insoluble problem themselves.
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6000 years of falling IQs is not a pretty thing to behold.
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OK you win, I’m an idiot that knows nothing and has no experience, also I’m a grouch with no vision for the future. As I said before, “see ya in 2020”. If you are right I’ll happily humble myself, as you are so much smarter and more worldly than I, I’m sure you will not lower yourself for the same.