Trump will not lose a single state Romney won... anyone suggesting it is smoking some very good stuff..
HIllary’s best case is maybe 15ish states and 180ish EC votes... more likely 10ish states and 100-120ish EC votes.
Come Nov 8, folks won’t believe the states the Dems lost.
Trump is in absolutely no danger of losing any state Romney carried, and is going to peel off most of the rust belt and a good bit of NE as well... He’s already virtually wrapped up the big supposedly “battleground” states of OH & FL and IA...
PA WI and MI will be red in polling before the end of the month, as I expect will RI, NV, NH as well.. Possibly add CO, and NJ to that list as well...
Unless Trump somehow implodes at the debates... and I mean completely implodes... not “Hillary won”... because no one will care if she wonks every question... she won’t get one more vote no matter how good she does... or doesn’t do... Trump just has to look reasonable to the folks tuning in.. because that’s what the folks tuning in who are “undecided” are evaluating They aren’t evaluating Hillary they have already wrote her off... they are evaluating is Trump this crazy racist that the press and Hillary tell them he is, or is he a reasonable person?
If they decide he’s reasonable... he wins, no matter what Hillary does or doesn’t do.
That seems to be the core position, and add FL, OH, and some other states and Trump wins. Pray without ceasing.