Posted on 08/09/2016 7:52:17 AM PDT by NotchJohnson
What are the odds of Hillary Clinton winning South Carolina in November? Getting better, according to one numbers-cruncher.
Nate Silver of the FiveThirtyEight website currently lists Donald Trump as a heavy favorite in South Carolina, saying the Republican has a 58.8 percent chance of winning the state. But that number has dropped precipitously in the past week.
On July 30, Trump had a 84.9 percent likelihood of winning South Carolina in FiveThirtyEights projections. Since then, however, the odds have dropped steadily, a loss of more than 25 points over a nine-day period.
At the same time, FiveThirtyEight projects a tightening race in terms of vote totals, saying Trump has the support of 46.5 percent of S.C. voters to Clintons 44.8 percent, a difference of less than two percentage points.
Read more here: http://www.heraldonline.com/news/state/south-carolina/article94384472.html#storylink=cpy
(Excerpt) Read more at heraldonline.com ...
That may be so...but Hillary may register the most votes in SC. Remember how the Dems cheat. The GOP and the MSM will simply say, "Voter fraud? Surely you jest. Hillary won fair and square."
Factor that in to any bets you make with all your assets on the line.
Trump is in a slump right now but he has plenty of time to reverse that. That said, I don’t see how he loses South Carolina. I live here and would be shocked if he lost.
Upcoming world events will sway things in Trump’s favor.
He dropped that much in a week based on....? On....?
I have been to Durham and they are way more liberal up there. I will think a lot less of NC if it goes blue. Damn Tarheels
Experts Announce That Reagan Cant Win An Election
The only way for Hillary to win SC is if Linda Grahamnesty’s friends count the vote.
“Blessent mon cur d’une langueur monotone!”
“John has a long moustache.”
Nate Silver of the FiveThirtyEight website currently lists Donald Trump as a heavy favorite in South Carolina, saying the Republican has a 58.8 percent chance of winning the state. But that number has dropped precipitously in the past week.
On July 30, Trump had a 84.9 percent likelihood of winning South Carolina in FiveThirtyEights projections. Since then, however, the odds have dropped steadily, a loss of more than 25 points over a nine-day period.
At the same time, FiveThirtyEight projects a tightening race in terms of vote totals, saying Trump has the support of 46.5 percent of S.C. voters to Clintons 44.8 percent, a difference of less than two percentage points.
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Well if I wanted proof that pollsters were just making s#!^ up, there it is.
Trump would have to nuke West Columbia and Fort Sumter for South Carolina to even budge near voting for Hillary as Prez.
Nate Silver either suffers from severe brain damage or is an employee of the DNC/Clinton campaign. Not that they’re mutually exclusive, mind you.
The polls have been so accurate during the primaries and that was when they were not trying to manufacture results as hard.
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